Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. Anyone's Legend
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x148fdd82834f9b76ae0898114175e87f549682b0d72549a97e938d2b5bb6d2a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anyone's Legendof Weibo Gaming, Anyone's Legend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Anyone's Legend | 75c | 33,955$25,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,554.1 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Weibo Gaming | 25c | 19,112$4,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,778.12 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Anyone's Legend | 72c | 10,654$7,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Weibo Gaming | 23c | 10,489$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.03 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Weibo Gaming | 28c | 10,001$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Weibo Gaming | 30c | 10,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.99 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed Weibo Gaming | 25c | 8,044$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.56 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Weibo Gaming | 27c | 7,777$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.89 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Anyone's Legend | 70c | 6,718$4,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.43 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Weibo Gaming | 31c | 4,411$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.67 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Anyone's Legend | 69c | 3,068$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.75 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Anyone's Legend | 72c | 2,899$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.52 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Anyone's Legend | 71c | 2,200$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Anyone's Legend | 78c | 2,173$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.69 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed Weibo Gaming | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…3db0backed Weibo Gaming | 6c | 1,900$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Anyone's Legend | 75c | 1,580$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.62 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Anyone's Legend | 71c | 1,411$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.19 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Weibo Gaming | 24c | 1,365$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Anyone's Legend | 68c | 1,258$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.39 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Weibo Gaming | 32c | 1,100$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Weibo Gaming | 24c | 1,010$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.39 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Weibo Gaming | 27c | 1,000$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.31 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Anyone's Legend | 73c | 679.99$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Anyone's Legend | 70c | 481.03$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.31 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Anyone's Legend | 79c | 430.38$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.38 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab5…2c4dbacked Weibo Gaming | 28c | 380$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba0…3d98backed Anyone's Legend | 71c | 295.02$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.02 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Anyone's Legend | 71c | 279.93$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…cecbbacked Weibo Gaming | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e49…9714backed Weibo Gaming | 13c | 150.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Anyone's Legend | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Anyone's Legend | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Weibo Gaming | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Weibo Gaming | 25c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…f579backed Weibo Gaming | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Weibo Gaming | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Anyone's Legend | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Weibo Gaming | 19c | 89.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820e…d85abacked Weibo Gaming | 28c | 85.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Anyone's Legend | 74c | 79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Anyone's Legend | 67c | 73.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Anyone's Legend | 66c | 64.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Weibo Gaming | 24c | 61.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Weibo Gaming | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 641 | 46.5%298 W · 343 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Anyone's Legend | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…6546backed Anyone's Legend | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fc…9cbdbacked Anyone's Legend | 73c | 45.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa18…435bbacked Anyone's Legend | 73c | 45.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Weibo Gaming | 28c | 44.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…8904backed Anyone's Legend | 73c | 39.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Anyone's Legend | 65c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefc…79dbbacked Weibo Gaming | 33c | 29.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed Anyone's Legend | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Anyone's Legend | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…99bebacked Anyone's Legend | 76c | 26.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.