TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Fitness" during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $687 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0ded…9025backed No48c314$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.1621063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3355044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa63f…4f7bbacked Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333116.1%5 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-73%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes52c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.212755.9%71 W · 56 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes51c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.252,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes31c52.93$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2348961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.817652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes30c37.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.421,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes52c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7211038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes53c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6614739.5%58 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21eb…a9fdbacked Yes53c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.132740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe46f…7a2ebacked Yes51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.