TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Captain" 5+ times during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,383

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,218 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cc3…084abacked No47c535.3$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.553721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes53c261.96$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.291,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.576445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes24c121$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5648961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No42c99.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4255044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No55c73.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1817652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No53c67.66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.92,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa724…cb96backed No45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13de…fd91backed No58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.85541.8%23 W · 32 L-7.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Yes43c57.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.121063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No76c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.21,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf00…0c1abacked Yes53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x084a…2a51backed Yes54c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.363158.1%18 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ad…39c6backed Yes55c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.754965.3%32 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes53c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0411038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes54c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6661752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No57c20.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5948636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.223357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.45036%18 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3806…d265backed No76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.22142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb395…3a1fbacked Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92055%11 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.