TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,591
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,716

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,591 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes72c1,456$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.3848961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xdfb8…a530backed No26c850.35$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No26c388.34$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.741,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked Yes75c350$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.535958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes74c305.04$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9824954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No25c214.62$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9276445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e31…454dbacked No27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542330.4%7 W · 16 L-6.3wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-47.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe5ad…39c6backed Yes66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.54965.3%32 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x385c…a385backed No28c161$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.081338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes71c99.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2955044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabc9…cb40backed No21c95.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No27c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.622550.7%114 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdacf…3c74backed Yes78c73.76$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.972588%22 W · 3 L+6.5wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+36.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed Yes68c73.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3211256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed No26c65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.911636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4669…a7b8backed No29c56.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.393132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x714f…66d5backed No28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511928.6%34 W · 85 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1521063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked No26c42.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1516225.3%41 W · 121 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x420f…9090backed No59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.65160.8%31 W · 20 L+7.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+46.5%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes76c39.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5542737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21eb…a9fdbacked No59c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.392740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.617652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb395…3a1fbacked Yes72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.62055%11 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes78c14.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.227250%36 W · 36 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.