MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15924b86da094137ebb51b485218b4c7454ea6b3611a16b8b7dea0dd8795d366
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 20,861$10,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,427.93 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 11,875$5,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,915.44 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 51c | 11,111$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,444.39 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 49c | 9,228$4,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,534.14 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 4,758$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.62 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 4,157$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.75 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 3,043$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.38 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Over | 49c | 2,525$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.25 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.98 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 50c | 1,798$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.09 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 50c | 1,750$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 1,444$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.24 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 48c | 1,384$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.84 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Under | 50c | 1,341$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.45 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 1,147$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.54 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 51c | 1,123$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.81 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 1,053$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.01 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 50c | 1,045$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.58 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 876.34$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.53 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 46c | 842.19$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.5 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 49c | 669.74$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.17 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 13c | 658.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 56c | 595.81$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.11 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 51c | 595.45$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.68 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 16c | 555.13$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Over | 4c | 434.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 58c | 412.53$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.97 | 481 | 45.3%218 W · 263 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 50c | 368.19$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.1 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 45c | 302.72$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.03 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 51c | 295.31$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.61 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Under | 50c | 292$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 50c | 260$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.05 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 51c | 254.19$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.64 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 45c | 225.38$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 45c | 218.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…1c26backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Under | 60c | 196.83$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…650bbacked Over | 51c | 195.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 45c | 189.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 50c | 176.64$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed Over | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Under | 50c | 148.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 51c | 138.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.69 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 126.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 50c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 51c | 112.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 50c | 111$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…1ef3backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…baafbacked Over | 38c | 87.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bc…352ebacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7dfbbacked Over | 40c | 75.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 330 | 32.7%108 W · 222 L | -22.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 51c | 64.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Over | 51c | 58.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed Under | 77c | 54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 71c | 52.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 549 | 51.2%281 W · 268 L | +29.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Under | 50c | 48.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 67c | 47.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Over | 49c | 46.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 49c | 45.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | -23.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 26c | 45.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 49c | 41.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 1,374 | 54.2%745 W · 629 L | +16.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…480ebacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Under | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7c49backed Over | 51c | 39.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Over | 51c | 38.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 51c | 37.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 208 | 52.9%110 W · 98 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd7…8e4abacked Over | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 45c | 34.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 34c | 31.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8f…f793backed Over | 51c | 31.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 52c | 30.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…5dd2backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 184 | 58.2%107 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…9b93backed Over | 51c | 29.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 51c | 26.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…faafbacked Under | 50c | 26.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Over | 49c | 25.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 51c | 25.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 661 | 59.5%393 W · 268 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 24.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…cdcfbacked Over | 51c | 24.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.