Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Zongyu Li vs Mai Hontama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15d84c38d5951aac3821e8d31aaea3c03532369765a28c6b22d6e9fcb13a688f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zongyu Liof Zongyu Li, Mai Hontama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Zongyu Li | 60c | 2,365$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.95 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mai Hontama | 38c | 2,127$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.76 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Mai Hontama | 50c | 769.6$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.22 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Zongyu Li | 39c | 500$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.06 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Mai Hontama | 62c | 487.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Mai Hontama | 30c | 339.62$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zongyu Li | 72c | 335.53$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.55 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Zongyu Li | 38c | 287.66$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.72 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mai Hontama | 8c | 270$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 310 | 31%96 W · 214 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Mai Hontama | 39c | 256$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1,131 | 45.4%514 W · 617 L | -34.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Zongyu Li | 47c | 224.34$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ba…1259backed Zongyu Li | 50c | 209.61$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Mai Hontama | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Mai Hontama | 11c | 174.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mai Hontama | 31c | 145.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mai Hontama | 35c | 143.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Mai Hontama | 50c | 140.55$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Mai Hontama | 29c | 127.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Mai Hontama | 61c | 105.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Mai Hontama | 27c | 86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Mai Hontama | 27c | 80.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Zongyu Li | 71c | 62.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Mai Hontama | 39c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Mai Hontama | 54c | 39.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Mai Hontama | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Zongyu Li | 69c | 36.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Mai Hontama | 48c | 34.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Zongyu Li | 37c | 33.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Mai Hontama | 37c | 32.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Zongyu Li | 74c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Zongyu Li | 68c | 19.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…3886backed Mai Hontama | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.