Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Lancashire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x165e0109d5b97204f4d3db23b0ae5fbb0ee075fc9f01b9993a9e22ec14ae3b7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lancashireof Leicestershire, Lancashire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d99…9675backed Leicestershire | 35c | 4,029$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.4 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lancashire | 66c | 1,989$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.01 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lancashire | 64c | 1,583$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.24 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Lancashire | 67c | 1,527$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.75 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Leicestershire | 36c | 1,500$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Leicestershire | 32c | 1,111$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.52 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked Lancashire | 68c | 623.27$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Lancashire | 72c | 558$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.45 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked Leicestershire | 35c | 432.11$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Lancashire | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Leicestershire | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Lancashire | 74c | 279.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Lancashire | 73c | 217.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed Lancashire | 73c | 202.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 199 | 58.8%117 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lancashire | 65c | 202.27$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Leicestershire | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Lancashire | 65c | 198.97$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Leicestershire | 28c | 181.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Lancashire | 65c | 180.85$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Leicestershire | 22c | 164$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Lancashire | 62c | 159.55$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Lancashire | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Lancashire | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lancashire | 74c | 118.9$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Leicestershire | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Leicestershire | 36c | 107$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…1686backed Leicestershire | 11c | 104$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lancashire | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…0c14backed Leicestershire | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Leicestershire | 24c | 97.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Leicestershire | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Leicestershire | 29c | 83.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lancashire | 66c | 77.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Leicestershire | 40c | 74.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Leicestershire | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Leicestershire | 15c | 69.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Leicestershire | 35c | 67.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Lancashire | 68c | 64.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Leicestershire | 32c | 56.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Leicestershire | 34c | 53.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lancashire | 80c | 46.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Leicestershire | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Lancashire | 66c | 45.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Leicestershire | 35c | 40.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Lancashire | 64c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Leicestershire | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Leicestershire | 33c | 30.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Lancashire | 75c | 27.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Lancashire | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.