Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 - 1 Qatar?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16b59919b26a2c7157e14114b21ef4773f95be61baf109a1ab2c2884af14d3ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes | 9c | 16,067$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.06 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 11,573$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.68 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 7,030$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.37 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 9c | 5,403$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.27 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 8c | 4,835$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.83 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…19c5backed Yes | 9c | 2,142$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,884$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.01 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,667$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 8c | 1,570$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…46c6backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…c74fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,032$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…9b10backed Yes | 9c | 900$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 9c | 666.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…fff4backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c9…4179backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…1578backed Yes | 9c | 550$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc2…e485backed Yes | 9c | 482$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 194 | 50.5%98 W · 96 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…ad62backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 15.2%20 W · 112 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…943ebacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4409…bc0bbacked Yes | 9c | 376.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…340ebacked Yes | 9c | 340$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975e…f875backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fe…1471backed Yes | 9c | 311.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 148 | 18.9%28 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 8c | 286.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fd…b710backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 330 | 40%132 W · 198 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0c…5034backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…5255backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb341…bb28backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…2767backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 9c | 198$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…96c1backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…c699backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 16.5%15 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 8c | 160$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc05a…532bbacked Yes | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…adc1backed Yes | 9c | 129$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…91dabacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 - 1 Qatar?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 - 0 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 - 1 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 - 2 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 - 3 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 - 0 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 - 2 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 - 3 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 - 0 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 - 1 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 - 2 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 - 3 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 0 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 1 Qatar?Yes won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 2 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 3 Qatar?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.