TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 2 Qatar?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,663
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,868

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,663 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes9c4,134$385 inLost-$385.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaef…c642backed Yes3c2,877$100 inLost-$1006813.2%9 W · 59 L+0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Yes4c2,722$100 inLost-$10022626.5%60 W · 166 L+0.9wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes14c1,260$176 inLost-$175.744524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Yes3c1,143$40 inLost-$4011135.1%39 W · 72 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Yes5c1,100$58 inLost-$58.321429.4%63 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes4c1,066$40 inLost-$401739.2%16 W · 157 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes14c1,046$149 inLost-$14929018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ef…cd31backed Yes3c1,000$33 inLost-$3320511.7%24 W · 181 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes3c779.56$25 inLost-$24.573,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes11c762.73$82 inLost-$82.1122226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2d8…6e1fbacked Yes3c714.29$25 inLost-$2514531.7%46 W · 99 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes3c606.06$20 inLost-$2023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes7c565.22$40 inLost-$40.111,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Yes4c514.85$20 inLost-$19.56541.9%1 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-92.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes15c499.99$75 inLost-$7537237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes8c456.96$37 inLost-$36.562,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38cd…fff4backed Yes15c339.86$50 inLost-$50238.7%2 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5802…0aedbacked Yes4c300$11 inLost-$10.523944.8%107 W · 132 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes5c249.11$12 inLost-$12.314,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f1…5d81backed Yes9c200$18 inLost-$186540%26 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x923a…e723backed Yes14c147.06$20 inLost-$2012532.8%41 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a61…0ef0backed Yes14c139.31$20 inLost-$2010320.4%21 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb553…457bbacked Yes15c102.74$15 inLost-$1514216.2%23 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x946e…1225backed Yes10c100.05$10 inLost-$109315.1%14 W · 79 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.