Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 - 2 Qatar?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf092ba3539b69187d2a4c284028b1f04d0fc5e3874fddf8376c1b86794eb668
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes | 11c | 8,881$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 7,231$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.53 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaef…c642backed Yes | 5c | 6,448$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 5c | 3,040$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…3ba6backed Yes | 4c | 2,280$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 1,745$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.54 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…fff4backed Yes | 13c | 1,486$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.51 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 16c | 1,422$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…1578backed Yes | 4c | 1,200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 5c | 1,087$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 10c | 937.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 4c | 873.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…19c5backed Yes | 10c | 623.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…c922backed Yes | 17c | 514.53$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 12c | 499.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…69afbacked Yes | 5c | 425.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 28.3%51 W · 129 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4409…bc0bbacked Yes | 4c | 420$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fd…b710backed Yes | 5c | 392.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 330 | 40%132 W · 198 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c3…8bb2backed Yes | 4c | 322.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 136 | 10.3%14 W · 122 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 15c | 303.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 4c | 299.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 112 | 4.5%5 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 10c | 250.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a2…c2cabacked Yes | 4c | 240$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 8c | 198.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1134…572abacked Yes | 11c | 184.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5f…6128backed Yes | 9c | 172.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 7.9%5 W · 58 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…3ad7backed Yes | 10c | 169.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 73c | 117.69$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…91dabacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 67c | 75.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 66c | 69.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 66c | 69.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 65c | 62.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 76c | 33.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 65c | 30.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 65c | 16.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 - 2 Qatar?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 - 0 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 - 1 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 - 2 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 - 3 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 - 0 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 - 1 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 - 2 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 - 3 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 - 0 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 - 1 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 - 3 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 0 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 1 Qatar?Yes won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 2 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 3 Qatar?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.