Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 0 Qatar?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79f830f1381165b92c7871f91576f3273f82a2796534e9087b1f1bbc7e583ca7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 6,881$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.7 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…8b76backed Yes | 9c | 3,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 120 | 15%18 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 8c | 1,500$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.22 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…e406backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 18.3%20 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7264…8121backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64b…e382backed Yes | 20c | 999.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 9c | 853.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 9c | 711$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2e70backed Yes | 9c | 666.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 198 | 17.2%34 W · 164 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 9c | 654.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…3271backed Yes | 8c | 584.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4830…f86bbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 9c | 460$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…fff4backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4409…bc0bbacked Yes | 9c | 420$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…ad62backed Yes | 19c | 359.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 132 | 15.2%20 W · 112 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…8de6backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 30.9%43 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…630dbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 22.2%28 W · 98 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 17c | 299.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 8c | 299$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 17c | 287.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…238abacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 178 | 20.8%37 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…2e52backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 226.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 483 | 34.2%165 W · 318 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a21…e859backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 31.8%47 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8f…56e5backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee36…bebebacked Yes | 10c | 190$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…2767backed Yes | 9c | 188.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 9c | 186.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fc…b16bbacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…2317backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4f…0b9ebacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…dd6bbacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 22.3%23 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1134…572abacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700c…5375backed Yes | 10c | 157$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5daa…d619backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 188 | 29.3%55 W · 133 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf6…9853backed Yes | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…e7fbbacked Yes | 15c | 131.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…5255backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 9c | 121.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a80…9608backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ce…5d30backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 10%5 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…9d22backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5121…c122backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…a9efbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 22.8%26 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…b713backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 17.6%21 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…4e0abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f3…6102backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…4a3ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 10c | 99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 15c | 96.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d02…1bb8backed Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec12…fd9dbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 155 | 19.4%30 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 0 Qatar?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 - 0 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 - 1 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 - 2 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 - 3 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 - 0 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 - 1 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 - 2 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 - 3 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 - 0 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 - 1 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 - 2 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 - 3 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 1 Qatar?Yes won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 2 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 3 Qatar?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.