Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x178c3509767fc380274cdf55de428cca6eec9332c6758ff971fd9908a3d51cc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 53c | 20,673$11,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,618.2 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 15,349$7,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,178.67 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 3,126$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.71 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 870.57$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.71 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 42c | 800$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 28c | 760.15$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.75 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 716.56$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.61 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 47c | 702$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.54 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 42c | 474.98$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.22 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 54c | 421.38$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.37 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Yes | 27c | 416$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 277.81$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.01 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…d8abbacked No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…dfcbbacked No | 73c | 248.91$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 35c | 248.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 30c | 109.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Yes | 42c | 98.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 55c | 95.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 69.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 54c | 57.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 443 | 56.2%249 W · 194 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 28c | 39.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…2c78backed No | 74c | 33.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 32.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Yes | 52c | 25.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911c…87bcbacked Yes | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 62cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 72c | 21.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 56c | 20.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 52c | 19.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 17.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll end in a draw?this page
- Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-07-30?No won
- Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.