Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17d660114ef14698a28367adf126f947cea71deddb980550a1db29d8b64eecc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc71d…fbdebacked Yes | 1c | 1,075$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…0a73backed Yes | 4c | 663.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…8ae2backed Yes | 5c | 647.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 32c | 268.7$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…ca17backed Yes | 31c | 224.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 48c | 214.51$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 47c | 187.03$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…364cbacked Yes | 70c | 174.31$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.34 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 46c | 165.63$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.79 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…7057backed No | 68c | 144.22$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cc…a95dbacked No | 71c | 134.72$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 70 | 81.4%57 W · 13 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 28c | 131.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 30c | 130.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 19c | 127.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 41c | 120.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfedf…ee2abacked Yes | 39c | 119.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 12c | 116.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 51c | 113.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 37c | 111.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0343…cb9fbacked No | 52c | 108.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 29c | 107.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x826a…b27cbacked Yes | 55c | 103.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 55c | 95.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 91.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d56…a397backed No | 50c | 91.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 48c | 88.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 31c | 85.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 40c | 85.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…dfb5backed Yes | 33c | 73.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 29c | 72.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 32c | 72.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 51c | 69.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 31c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 32c | 60.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf97b…c751backed Yes | 40c | 55.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 27c | 54.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed No | 73c | 52.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 296 | 53.4%158 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 49c | 50.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Yes | 77c | 49.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 69c | 48.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 72c | 46.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 56c | 44.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 54c | 44.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…099abacked No | 69c | 44.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 71c | 42.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…3c9fbacked No | 69c | 42.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 125 | 67.2%84 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 34c | 41.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d52…c5aabacked No | 69c | 40.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e86…6edbbacked Yes | 29c | 40.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…bd7dbacked No | 70c | 39.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Yes | 39c | 39.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed No | 43c | 38.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…7007backed Yes | 41c | 37.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 36.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked Yes | 74c | 35.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 33c | 32.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…6737backed Yes | 33c | 32.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5052…564cbacked Yes | 46c | 30.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…c61bbacked No | 72c | 30.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 65c | 30.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…46b3backed Yes | 33c | 30.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 34c | 29.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f44…c470backed Yes | 50c | 29.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 48c | 29.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…af52backed No | 60c | 29.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e08…59d2backed Yes | 57c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3949…dffdbacked No | 69c | 27.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…b95cbacked No | 49c | 26.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…e315backed No | 57c | 26.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 77c | 25.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 57c | 24.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8d…f707backed No | 64c | 23.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…8ac5backed No | 69c | 22.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64bd…82cfbacked No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 187 | 61%114 W · 73 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…0e6ebacked No | 66c | 20.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc25d…67b3backed Yes | 55c | 19.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed Yes | 67c | 19.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…7efcbacked No | 61c | 17.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…54abbacked No | 70c | 16.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcc…788cbacked No | 67c | 15.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…7448backed No | 69c | 15.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 70c | 15.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 66c | 15.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x924a…1dd8backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…f641backed No | 70c | 14.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…f13abacked No | 73c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…8c71backed No | 70c | 14.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 1?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.