CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Series #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17e8303ae56eba6d21c2af98813a231afea2b0148990062962cd03230133dce8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spirit Academyof QUAZAR, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked QUAZAR | 12c | 725$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed QUAZAR | 61c | 553.28$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.01 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Spirit Academy | 40c | 514.9$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.04 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked QUAZAR | 17c | 425.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed QUAZAR | 7c | 415.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed QUAZAR | 9c | 389.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed QUAZAR | 65c | 309.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked QUAZAR | 4c | 303.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed QUAZAR | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Spirit Academy | 39c | 243.28$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.55 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit Academy | 67c | 235.49$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.77 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Spirit Academy | 35c | 215.52$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.09 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Spirit Academy | 38c | 211$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.82 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Spirit Academy | 69c | 181.87$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed QUAZAR | 9c | 157$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Spirit Academy | 39c | 144$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked QUAZAR | 26c | 112.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked QUAZAR | 45c | 106.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked QUAZAR | 31c | 82.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Spirit Academy | 63c | 80.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed QUAZAR | 32c | 76.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Spirit Academy | 62c | 69.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked QUAZAR | 22c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed QUAZAR | 62c | 60.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked QUAZAR | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…a44dbacked QUAZAR | 64c | 46.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed QUAZAR | 30c | 34.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked QUAZAR | 35c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed QUAZAR | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed Spirit Academy | 41c | 32.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked QUAZAR | 58c | 30.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ee…0439backed QUAZAR | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed Spirit Academy | 79c | 29.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed QUAZAR | 58c | 28.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed QUAZAR | 62c | 23.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed QUAZAR | 64c | 18.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 163 | 63.2%103 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Series #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Spirit Academy - Map 1 WinnerSpirit Academy won
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Spirit Academy - Map 2 WinnerSpirit Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.