Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x184396714b9954ab952822f16dd2d9bb8d098675572dbc4e13c8cd32dece9745
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a5e…2a5cbacked Yes | 1c | 32,487$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.46 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…b4b8backed Yes | 56c | 930$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.84 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…9575backed Yes | 74c | 678.17$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 42c | 495.95$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbd…9d9ebacked Yes | 77c | 434.52$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.16 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…7d32backed Yes | 67c | 368.02$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.13 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…9464backed No | 38c | 344.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 36c | 331.14$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.21 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 38c | 322.48$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.29 | 847 | 59.4%503 W · 344 L | +41.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 24c | 276.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.65 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb0…611abacked Yes | 66c | 254.2$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec72…d655backed Yes | 68c | 245.1$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.46 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae3c…ee83backed Yes | 69c | 202.15$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.48 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…352ebacked No | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 175 | 32%56 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 28c | 199.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.98 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed No | 26c | 190$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.8 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…671bbacked Yes | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc6…464cbacked Yes | 59c | 178.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.61 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…39c0backed Yes | 28c | 178.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf0…0274backed Yes | 58c | 173$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 53c | 172.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 46c | 168.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 7c | 149.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 19c | 134.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.66 | 113 | 23%26 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…4b2bbacked Yes | 54c | 129.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 23c | 122.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0149…fa64backed Yes | 56c | 116$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…d13abacked Yes | 9c | 112$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 943 | 3.4%32 W · 911 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d39…cb7cbacked Yes | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 173 | 34.7%60 W · 113 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…7828backed Yes | 51c | 104.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 51c | 102$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde64…6ad7backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4659…58e6backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62aa…8598backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…80c9backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 32c | 93.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 34c | 83.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…6edbbacked Yes | 71c | 76.37$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a29…8b9ebacked No | 38c | 71.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b5…6d52backed Yes | 74c | 70$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3336…87adbacked Yes | 68c | 65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4be…58f2backed Yes | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf7…ce20backed Yes | 45c | 56.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1c…cd68backed Yes | 75c | 53.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95a1…0fd7backed Yes | 77c | 51.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Yes | 58c | 51.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…7afabacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 37.7%46 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…b038backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…7ab2backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 70c | 49.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 111 | 72.1%80 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b3…960abacked No | 31c | 43.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…4dafbacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…a37cbacked Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…6cb3backed Yes | 50c | 39.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…78b1backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 65.2%107 W · 57 L | +18.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd83a…3609backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 207 | 28%58 W · 149 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…0c7ebacked Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…3967backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd392…b7bcbacked Yes | 71c | 28.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…7aafbacked No | 60c | 27.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…d456backed Yes | 53c | 27.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 72c | 25.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 437 | 13.3%58 W · 379 L | -78.8wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed Yes | 63c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 75c | 20.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…31f1backed Yes | 61c | 20.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa680…459bbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…e36ebacked Yes | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x446c…f245backed Yes | 74c | 17.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 62c | 17.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e8…4c01backed Yes | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6644…5b8fbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b55…f0febacked Yes | 71c | 15.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on November 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 50°F or higher on November 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 40-41°F on November 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on November 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on November 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on November 30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.