Fifa International · resolved market
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x185ab201d00298a8bc3683029f4f5d9272f2a83934d033845c57108c7fe1a211
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 43c | 7,529$3,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,271.46 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 48c | 4,564$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.02 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 56c | 2,435$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.3 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 52c | 2,242$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.48 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 38c | 2,091$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.26 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 1,755$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.65 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 1,737$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Yes | 48c | 1,676$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.29 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 52c | 1,215$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.58 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 52c | 1,105$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.97 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 52c | 849.73$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.86 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 79c | 826.31$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.31 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 53c | 628.69$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.17 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 8c | 603.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…e52dbacked Yes | 47c | 595.83$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 47c | 539.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.19 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 52c | 526.97$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.02 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc843…32b7backed Yes | 48c | 505.46$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.84 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4af6…270abacked Yes | 79c | 503.64$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.64 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 48c | 377.08$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 53c | 370.28$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.89 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 53c | 220.63$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 69c | 218.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf91…844ebacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…9d42backed Yes | 48c | 209$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff8a…0c39backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…d10abacked Yes | 48c | 175$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 52c | 169.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 52c | 160$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7909…e1bbbacked Yes | 47c | 152.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Yes | 48c | 149$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Yes | 79c | 146.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed Yes | 48c | 122.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 53c | 120$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…0873backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d8…c245backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 53c | 101$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed No | 52c | 100.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 222 | 47.7%106 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0531…aa5abacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…6c0bbacked No | 53c | 99.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…b9adbacked Yes | 48c | 77.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…d4c1backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 48c | 63.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed No | 53c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…5bd3backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8f…44f0backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 42.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…2f76backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c33dbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…4a17backed Yes | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 231 | 24.7%57 W · 174 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 48c | 38.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91af…1468backed Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…19fabacked Yes | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…193fbacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…3c82backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…b9debacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1927…63edbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked Yes | 48c | 29.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00ec…a28ebacked No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…d92dbacked Yes | 47c | 27.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…7dedbacked Yes | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e2…6e01backed Yes | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6272…6780backed Yes | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 53c | 22.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…0730backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime?this page
- Czechia leading at halftime?No won
- Korea Republic leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.