Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Sean Cuenin vs Makoto Ochi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ac41cc92a3ffeb99c1067c55a494920cc1c8cab732788b73241aa52d7c61cad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sean Cueninof Sean Cuenin, Makoto Ochi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Makoto Ochi | 18c | 14,685$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.45 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Makoto Ochi | 24c | 6,487$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.82 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Sean Cuenin | 75c | 4,961$3,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.81 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sean Cuenin | 69c | 2,627$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.49 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Makoto Ochi | 16c | 1,156$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.5 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Makoto Ochi | 11c | 376.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Makoto Ochi | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sean Cuenin | 69c | 337$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.78 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Makoto Ochi | 11c | 336.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Makoto Ochi | 13c | 247.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Makoto Ochi | 27c | 205.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…e6adbacked Makoto Ochi | 8c | 183.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 10.7%11 W · 92 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Makoto Ochi | 11c | 180.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…664fbacked Makoto Ochi | 29c | 180$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Makoto Ochi | 24c | 168.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Sean Cuenin | 79c | 151.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Makoto Ochi | 14c | 136.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Sean Cuenin | 73c | 135.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Makoto Ochi | 22c | 128.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Makoto Ochi | 23c | 124.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Sean Cuenin | 69c | 116$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Makoto Ochi | 33c | 112.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Makoto Ochi | 18c | 98.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Makoto Ochi | 21c | 94.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Sean Cuenin | 71c | 84.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Makoto Ochi | 30c | 82.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed Sean Cuenin | 69c | 67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Sean Cuenin | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Makoto Ochi | 27c | 61.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Sean Cuenin | 68c | 59.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Makoto Ochi | 26c | 47.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Sean Cuenin | 78c | 45.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Makoto Ochi | 27c | 42.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Sean Cuenin | 72c | 40.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Sean Cuenin | 79c | 40.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…e2eabacked Sean Cuenin | 74c | 26.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Sean Cuenin | 80c | 25.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…47eabacked Sean Cuenin | 77c | 24.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…a63ebacked Sean Cuenin | 73c | 22.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Sean Cuenin | 69c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.