Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ad56eee11637f92d883d76b245281af87a9f66f7e126038be871010bd6398e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec3a…a709backed No | 50c | 4,200$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.62 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…d9b1backed Yes | 53c | 1,473$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked No | 49c | 1,128$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.11 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadba…b0afbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 0%0 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7e35backed Yes | 2c | 939.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 61c | 866.1$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.96 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 37c | 457.41$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.86 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…92b6backed Yes | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…6804backed Yes | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63fd…ae6ebacked Yes | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45b3…eed5backed Yes | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf565…cb93backed Yes | 49c | 399.77$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.89 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b7…4834backed Yes | 50c | 398.96$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.49 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4c…0b31backed Yes | 49c | 285.07$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.28 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 51c | 279.02$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.67 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 43c | 276.8$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.26 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f8…750bbacked Yes | 49c | 270.08$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35cd…36a8backed Yes | 50c | 239.23$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 48c | 231.23$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.06 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d1…8769backed Yes | 50c | 227.34$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…1948backed No | 46c | 212.53$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.35 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…e9f9backed Yes | 50c | 205.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe89f…c2c6backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…b884backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…6747backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…a1c9backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf821…f546backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…603bbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf8…e39ebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…120ebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c87…d952backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed No | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 45c | 198.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 53c | 196.68$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.69 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…8b53backed No | 48c | 178.37$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.21 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…af19backed Yes | 53c | 173.27$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…ca17backed Yes | 38c | 169.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 52c | 162.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…cd72backed No | 48c | 157.97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.43 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 46c | 151.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…5a45backed Yes | 46c | 142.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 68c | 141.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…68a1backed No | 53c | 139.66$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 57c | 135.6$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…c103backed Yes | 46c | 134$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 64c | 130.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbd…b40ebacked Yes | 57c | 127.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 42c | 122.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 54c | 122.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 48c | 122.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked No | 60c | 122.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…eb2abacked No | 53c | 119.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 52c | 119.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…0e27backed No | 57c | 117.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 51c | 111.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 46c | 108.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 57c | 108.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked Yes | 32c | 104.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 43c | 101.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -19.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a109backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…d74dbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 52c | 97.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 66c | 96.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…88ccbacked Yes | 37c | 96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 51c | 95.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…8434backed Yes | 56c | 85.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…69e7backed Yes | 41c | 84.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 51c | 84.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…2be8backed Yes | 55c | 83.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 43c | 80.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7368…6e6dbacked No | 51c | 80.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 58c | 78.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 267 | 38.6%103 W · 164 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 41c | 78.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 49c | 78.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed Yes | 46c | 74.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 45c | 72.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 42c | 71.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694b…dadbbacked Yes | 57c | 67.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 51c | 66.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 38c | 65.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 56c | 64.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e67…7bb5backed No | 62c | 62.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…5adfbacked Yes | 41c | 60.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…1a73backed Yes | 57c | 59.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 186 | 68.8%128 W · 58 L | +27.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 55c | 59.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e53…254cbacked Yes | 48c | 59.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…d953backed No | 63c | 59.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…4ae6backed Yes | 53c | 58.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 53c | 55.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…246dbacked Yes | 52c | 54.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x013a…e374backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…4324backed Yes | 50c | 52.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed No | 46c | 52.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 33c | 51.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x108f…ee30backed Yes | 39c | 51.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…7940backed Yes | 54c | 50.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 16?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.