MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b1e7f54e8cee4cef492be7460b33afbf7cf4f7ecc49b4e864422c2db7668936
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof SSG Landers, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3572…9d39backed Lotte Giants | 55c | 1,900$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.98 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked SSG Landers | 45c | 1,113$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.28 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Lotte Giants | 54c | 771.51$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.89 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed SSG Landers | 40c | 356.57$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Lotte Giants | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked SSG Landers | 43c | 313.02$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lotte Giants | 60c | 274$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.54 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lotte Giants | 69c | 242$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed SSG Landers | 42c | 219.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SSG Landers | 52c | 176.69$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.88 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 145$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked SSG Landers | 45c | 130.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed SSG Landers | 47c | 130.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Lotte Giants | 58c | 107$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…5fecbacked Lotte Giants | 57c | 104.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Lotte Giants | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed SSG Landers | 43c | 96.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…0cbfbacked Lotte Giants | 56c | 90.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed SSG Landers | 46c | 89.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed SSG Landers | 46c | 84.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Lotte Giants | 59c | 84.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.27per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xed9f…b19dbacked SSG Landers | 45c | 70.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Lotte Giants | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 46c | 69.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed SSG Landers | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SSG Landers | 44c | 60.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Lotte Giants | 58c | 59.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 41c | 58.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed SSG Landers | 43c | 57.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Lotte Giants | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked SSG Landers | 42c | 54.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Lotte Giants | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Lotte Giants | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +11.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…96b8backed SSG Landers | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked SSG Landers | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed SSG Landers | 78c | 36.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lotte Giants | 55c | 35.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Lotte Giants | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed Lotte Giants | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Lotte Giants | 42c | 33.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked SSG Landers | 41c | 32.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed SSG Landers | 55c | 32.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed SSG Landers | 43c | 31.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lotte Giants | 56c | 30.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed SSG Landers | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Lotte Giants | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Lotte Giants | 59c | 29.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked SSG Landers | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9e39backed Lotte Giants | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed SSG Landers | 46c | 26.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1360…6cb6backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 23.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x693a…513dbacked SSG Landers | 50c | 23.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f11…ecf2backed SSG Landers | 50c | 23.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe3…8999backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 23.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Lotte Giants | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Lotte Giants | 59c | 20.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.