Tennis · resolved market
Hagen: Dominik Recek vs Diego Dedura-Palomero
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bcd80906a21fc83ca708fa83a7f2bd5aa8736c6007bf0898dfc9659f364d394
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diego Dedura-Palomeroof Dominik Recek, Diego Dedura-Palomero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Dominik Recek | 15c | 39,568$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Dominik Recek | 7c | 17,774$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Dominik Recek | 21c | 9,538$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 300 | 56.7%170 W · 130 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Dominik Recek | 10c | 9,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Dominik Recek | 11c | 6,916$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.6 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…cea7backed Dominik Recek | 7c | 6,899$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.91 | 327 | 35.5%116 W · 211 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Dominik Recek | 18c | 3,120$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.05 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Dominik Recek | 9c | 1,836$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.57 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dominik Recek | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Dominik Recek | 5c | 1,312$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68b…cfbabacked Dominik Recek | 9c | 1,052$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dominik Recek | 4c | 1,003$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Dominik Recek | 8c | 748.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4819…7298backed Dominik Recek | 16c | 664.32$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dominik Recek | 6c | 585.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Dominik Recek | 5c | 532.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dominik Recek | 9c | 480$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dominik Recek | 6c | 441.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Dominik Recek | 8c | 356.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 187 | 31%58 W · 129 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dominik Recek | 7c | 320.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Dominik Recek | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Dominik Recek | 11c | 287.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 67c | 264$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked Dominik Recek | 10c | 254.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…732ebacked Dominik Recek | 7c | 204.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Dominik Recek | 10c | 179.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Dominik Recek | 10c | 179.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…2f66backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 216 | 61.1%132 W · 84 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Dominik Recek | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Dominik Recek | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Dominik Recek | 27c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Dominik Recek | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 68c | 36.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 215 | 63.3%136 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 372 | 66.7%248 W · 124 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.