Lol · resolved market
LoL: Zephyr Esport vs Galions Sharks (BO1) - Nexus League Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cf7f3773aac8c0c53797eb178f41cba25c9c6bf7f75d79fedd32a4a9b3c3c6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galions Sharksof Zephyr Esport, Galions Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Zephyr Esport | 17c | 3,936$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.47 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Zephyr Esport | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 354 | 35.3%125 W · 229 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Zephyr Esport | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Zephyr Esport | 15c | 654.78$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Zephyr Esport | 17c | 515.37$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.13 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Zephyr Esport | 16c | 300$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 344 | 48.3%166 W · 178 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Zephyr Esport | 16c | 240$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Zephyr Esport | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed Galions Sharks | 80c | 144.75$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…c724backed Zephyr Esport | 15c | 95.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Zephyr Esport | 14c | 92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f62…c3e0backed Zephyr Esport | 19c | 83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…7fcabacked Zephyr Esport | 17c | 72.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Zephyr Esport | 18c | 63.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Zephyr Esport | 20c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 438 | 37.9%166 W · 272 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Zephyr Esport | 20c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 218 | 36.7%80 W · 138 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed Zephyr Esport | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 539 | 32.5%175 W · 364 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Zephyr Esport | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed Zephyr Esport | 24c | 46.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Galions Sharks | 78c | 41.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Galions Sharks | 77c | 22.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.