Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah State Aggies vs. Boise State Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d3cb4c14d52ddfb70ab4af47a94484159b732e9b5980912c6316d019de516f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah State Aggiesof Utah State Aggies, Boise State Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Boise State Broncos | 36c | 2,480$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.99 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Utah State Aggies | 70c | 2,408$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.58 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Utah State Aggies | 55c | 2,062$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.61 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Boise State Broncos | 45c | 1,481$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.37 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Utah State Aggies | 78c | 1,277$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.54 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked Boise State Broncos | 2c | 1,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Boise State Broncos | 29c | 1,001$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.49 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…9955backed Boise State Broncos | 6c | 869.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +15.0wins | +0.28per pick | 11cpaid | +213.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Boise State Broncos | 47c | 670.99$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.26 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Boise State Broncos | 3c | 600$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah State Aggies | 52c | 591.29$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.95 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Boise State Broncos | 21c | 555.36$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.63 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Utah State Aggies | 66c | 492.9$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Utah State Aggies | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Boise State Broncos | 41c | 349.07$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Boise State Broncos | 18c | 348.26$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Boise State Broncos | 45c | 340$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Boise State Broncos | 43c | 310.97$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Boise State Broncos | 4c | 308$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Boise State Broncos | 47c | 268.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.27 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Boise State Broncos | 38c | 264.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Boise State Broncos | 47c | 222$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Utah State Aggies | 55c | 221.82$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Boise State Broncos | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Boise State Broncos | 35c | 186.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Utah State Aggies | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Boise State Broncos | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Utah State Aggies | 59c | 127.43$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Utah State Aggies | 69c | 114.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Utah State Aggies | 64c | 84.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Boise State Broncos | 20c | 73.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boise State Broncos | 35c | 60.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Boise State Broncos | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Boise State Broncos | 23c | 57.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Boise State Broncos | 46c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Boise State Broncos | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Utah State Aggies | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah State Aggies vs. Boise State Broncosthis page
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-1.5)Utah State Aggies won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 147.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.