Tennis · resolved market
ITF The Hague: Jakub Nicod vs Alejandro Juan Mano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d89c866bf6dddf8a41422a7b6f37843748f79ad9fa0d59ea4edeeef1ba9a1c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alejandro Juan Manoof Jakub Nicod, Alejandro Juan Mano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $242,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 44c | 103,806$45,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,922.83 | 220 | 62.7%138 W · 82 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jakub Nicod | 64c | 40,837$26,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,135.2 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Jakub Nicod | 26c | 29,860$7,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,789.51 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…d98abacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 53c | 20,406$10,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,561.53 | 245 | 62%152 W · 93 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 32c | 5,685$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,885.14 | 2,004 | 53.2%1,067 W · 937 L | +52.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b40…2f4bbacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 55c | 5,409$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.46 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 45c | 3,147$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.84 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jakub Nicod | 65c | 2,545$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.8 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a11…9becbacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 48c | 2,152$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.8 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 38c | 1,842$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.67 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 16c | 1,625$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.9 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 47c | 1,461$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.33 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Jakub Nicod | 3c | 1,228$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 78c | 1,021$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.83 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 26c | 955.61$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.18 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jakub Nicod | 65c | 650.91$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.39 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 51c | 534.38$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.42 | 1,406 | 45.3%637 W · 769 L | +43.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 42c | 447.62$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.62 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Jakub Nicod | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a6…2a4bbacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 39c | 423.6$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.18 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 50c | 419$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jakub Nicod | 54c | 405.52$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.6 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Jakub Nicod | 74c | 315.65$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.9 | 1,773 | 48.6%861 W · 912 L | +28.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 19c | 299.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.71 | 304 | 43.4%132 W · 172 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 46c | 282.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.15 | 1,657 | 44.2%733 W · 924 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 17c | 276.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.41 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 47c | 248.97$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.46 | 699 | 47.8%334 W · 365 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…4be5backed Jakub Nicod | 5c | 235.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 18c | 210.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.72 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 18c | 209.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.38 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 25c | 176$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 3,412 | 39.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L | -11.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 48c | 146.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 25c | 140$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2,142 | 37.3%799 W · 1,343 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jakub Nicod | 55c | 139.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 50c | 121$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 48c | 117$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Jakub Nicod | 74c | 116.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 38c | 113.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 3,204 | 40.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Jakub Nicod | 66c | 112.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…ad76backed Jakub Nicod | 59c | 96.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 37c | 76.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Jakub Nicod | 50c | 73.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Jakub Nicod | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Jakub Nicod | 75c | 70.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 22c | 70$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Jakub Nicod | 42c | 67.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Jakub Nicod | 64c | 66.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 1,806 | 40.9%739 W · 1,067 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Jakub Nicod | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 787 | 57.1%449 W · 338 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alejandro Juan Mano | 44c | 64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Jakub Nicod | 71c | 59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 46c | 56.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 61c | 52.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Jakub Nicod | 54c | 48.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 67c | 47.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 50c | 46.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Jakub Nicod | 76c | 43.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…0a41backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 33c | 42.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +202%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…51bfbacked Jakub Nicod | 69c | 37.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Jakub Nicod | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,111 | 56.1%1,184 W · 927 L | +42.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Jakub Nicod | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Jakub Nicod | 74c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2549…af53backed Jakub Nicod | 77c | 28.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Jakub Nicod | 57c | 27.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0932…ba5abacked Jakub Nicod | 64c | 27.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -77%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…8d08backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 48c | 23.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Jakub Nicod | 76c | 22.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 419 | 58.7%246 W · 173 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…d981backed Alejandro Juan Mano | 67c | 21.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Jakub Nicod | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,013 | 53.8%545 W · 468 L | +35.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…8cd9backed Jakub Nicod | 70c | 16.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.