Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e3bdfc1a7b31c6446e2f97243fbf890c03cedf4cb59943fa66931cff640c245
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85df…fb48backed No | 15c | 2,203$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.14 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b28…5b76backed Yes | 23c | 757.52$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.58 | 134 | 16.4%22 W · 112 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 12c | 447.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 58c | 444.24$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.02 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 26c | 346.53$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.8 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 17c | 308.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.34 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 306.9$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.44 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 75c | 270$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.2 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 20c | 222$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…4da6backed Yes | 21c | 211.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.48 | 211 | 32.2%68 W · 143 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 54c | 207.47$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.57 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…91d6backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.55 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 192.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.83 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 79c | 184.79$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 80c | 165$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…00b2backed Yes | 31c | 162.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.33 | 145 | 24.1%35 W · 110 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 28c | 151.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.25 | 445 | 36.6%163 W · 282 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 73c | 149.33$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 134.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.12 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…8a50backed Yes | 48c | 129.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 12c | 127.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.42 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 73c | 126.78$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 54c | 126.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 74c | 123.53$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 32c | 122.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…cfaabacked Yes | 67c | 120.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 59c | 116.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d45…266cbacked No | 74c | 108.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed Yes | 14c | 106.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 47c | 104.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 76c | 102.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 25c | 96.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 74c | 92.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 56c | 91.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 64c | 88.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…c500backed Yes | 68c | 81.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 57c | 73.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 28c | 73.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 68.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc878…a6f3backed Yes | 72c | 63.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…8e7ebacked Yes | 19c | 62.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 960 | 15%144 W · 816 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 36c | 60.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 401 | 32.9%132 W · 269 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 32c | 58.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fb…e7f3backed Yes | 27c | 56.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 27c | 54.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2184…d271backed No | 78c | 52.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…3798backed Yes | 23c | 50.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +11.5wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8343…ba81backed No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…cd3cbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -13.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61c…4dd6backed Yes | 35c | 48.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 79c | 48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 27c | 47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 74c | 46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 69c | 45.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 26c | 45.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 80c | 44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 64c | 39.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8713…1cd9backed Yes | 60c | 37.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cdd8backed Yes | 33c | 35.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 72c | 34.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 70c | 32.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 75c | 31.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…7804backed No | 73c | 31.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x273f…ef14backed Yes | 65c | 30.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 58c | 30.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 73c | 29.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4746backed No | 77c | 27.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 75c | 27.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…0fe5backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 515 | 68%350 W · 165 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 24.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 68c | 24.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 65c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 68c | 22.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 68c | 22.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e2…be4bbacked No | 70c | 21.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…a786backed No | 67c | 21.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 376 | 69.4%261 W · 115 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4d…50b1backed No | 75c | 21.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 129 | 72.1%93 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2162…929ebacked Yes | 75c | 20.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 70c | 18.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 74c | 17.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 75c | 16.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 78c | 16.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 68c | 15.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 257 | 66.1%170 W · 87 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 78c | 14.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…a270backed No | 78c | 13.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on June 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.