Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eb84ae826ce45ceb42b03f0c099f8159855ed700ffa9501f8a477f25fdf675e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof Poor Rangers, BetBoom Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 10,256$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.41 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Poor Rangers | 22c | 6,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Poor Rangers | 22c | 4,501$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.28 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Poor Rangers | 23c | 1,396$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.61 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team | 68c | 1,389$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.93 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Poor Rangers | 44c | 1,095$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.28 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…6a46backed Poor Rangers | 19c | 999.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…79b6backed Poor Rangers | 21c | 948$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed BetBoom Team | 53c | 943.7$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.7 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9a…89a5backed Poor Rangers | 19c | 525.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Poor Rangers | 32c | 465.58$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.8 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked BetBoom Team | 66c | 442.54$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.46 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Poor Rangers | 32c | 436.05$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.17 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Poor Rangers | 16c | 378$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Poor Rangers | 10c | 206.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 204.5$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Poor Rangers | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed BetBoom Team | 66c | 197.38$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae16…7111backed Poor Rangers | 19c | 183$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…7596backed Poor Rangers | 13c | 167$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BetBoom Team | 72c | 149.89$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…c91dbacked BetBoom Team | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa194…d4bebacked Poor Rangers | 18c | 111.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked BetBoom Team | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked BetBoom Team | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 57cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed BetBoom Team | 73c | 81.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Poor Rangers | 20c | 74.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Poor Rangers | 20c | 68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Poor Rangers | 26c | 57.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked BetBoom Team | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Poor Rangers | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…189fbacked BetBoom Team | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 38.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 33.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 27.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed BetBoom Team | 79c | 23.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7b…eba3backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 21.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed BetBoom Team | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…138ebacked BetBoom Team | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked BetBoom Team | 80c | 13.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…cb74backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.