Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Bydgoszcz Women: Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Nellie Taraba Wallberg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fb03002055c54914ddef00c82b93c38e532421200bfaf3f644edc23df546d16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yelyzaveta Kotliarof Yelyzaveta Kotliar, Nellie Taraba Wallberg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nellie Taraba Wallberg | 38c | 7,423$2,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,847.49 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 64c | 6,343$4,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.02 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 74c | 818.45$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.7 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 46c | 664.7$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.28 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 56c | 462.47$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.71 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Nellie Taraba Wallberg | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Nellie Taraba Wallberg | 75c | 395$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.25 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 46c | 324.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.07 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Nellie Taraba Wallberg | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 313 | 55.3%173 W · 140 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Nellie Taraba Wallberg | 37c | 263.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…3d80backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 641 | 47.7%306 W · 335 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 41c | 197$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.29 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nellie Taraba Wallberg | 54c | 175$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Nellie Taraba Wallberg | 57c | 139.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 61c | 135.95$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 471 | 48.2%227 W · 244 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Nellie Taraba Wallberg | 35c | 128$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nellie Taraba Wallberg | 47c | 122.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Nellie Taraba Wallberg | 44c | 103.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 31c | 103.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 254 | 51.6%131 W · 123 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Nellie Taraba Wallberg | 55c | 99.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Nellie Taraba Wallberg | 36c | 97.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 73c | 97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 468 | 55.1%258 W · 210 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 73c | 91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 300 | 51.7%155 W · 145 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 524 | 57.3%300 W · 224 L | +29.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nellie Taraba Wallberg | 54c | 87.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nellie Taraba Wallberg | 60c | 87.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Nellie Taraba Wallberg | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Nellie Taraba Wallberg | 80c | 66.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Nellie Taraba Wallberg | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 908 | 34.1%310 W · 598 L | -43.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Nellie Taraba Wallberg | 33c | 53.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked Nellie Taraba Wallberg | 56c | 45.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d7…cfe2backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 62c | 42.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 1,254 | 52.1%653 W · 601 L | +45.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 73c | 38.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 340 | 52.1%177 W · 163 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 68c | 38.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 43c | 35.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 451 | 39%176 W · 275 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 443 | 63.4%281 W · 162 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Nellie Taraba Wallberg | 45c | 25.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 710 | 45.4%322 W · 388 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Nellie Taraba Wallberg | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 281 | 68.7%193 W · 88 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 59c | 22.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Nellie Taraba Wallberg | 55c | 22.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 71c | 18.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.