Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20287fd77af5b3b0a289b8241f0e230898f14b04afee206eb930381433aa0389
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Team Liquid, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 50c | 17,071$8,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,472.07 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 54c | 9,641$5,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,226.93 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Aurora | 58c | 6,150$3,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.14 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Aurora | 45c | 5,555$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.28 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 48c | 5,103$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.95 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid | 55c | 5,064$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 48c | 5,000$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.95 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Aurora | 53c | 4,509$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 47c | 4,000$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.95 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Aurora | 51c | 3,719$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.93 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora | 46c | 3,333$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.81 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Team Liquid | 41c | 2,081$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.69 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Aurora | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Aurora | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.04 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Team Liquid | 55c | 1,056$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.54 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…886abacked Team Liquid | 25c | 1,041$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.63 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Aurora | 48c | 1,039$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.12 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 49c | 1,000$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Aurora | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Liquid | 3c | 919.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Liquid | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Aurora | 57c | 877.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.28 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 54c | 651.83$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.99 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Aurora | 46c | 651.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Aurora | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…a353backed Team Liquid | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.89 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Team Liquid | 67c | 587.14$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.08 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Aurora | 55c | 542.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.23 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Aurora | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid | 46c | 475.44$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 421$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Liquid | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Aurora | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora | 65c | 326.25$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.51 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Aurora | 60c | 293.33$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.33 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed Aurora | 48c | 290$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Aurora | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Aurora | 58c | 197.73$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 38c | 188.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Liquid | 54c | 184.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Liquid | 46c | 170$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 153.91$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Liquid | 53c | 150.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc0…5f47backed Team Liquid | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 43c | 138.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed Team Liquid | 28c | 115.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf03d…21fbbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 111.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Team Liquid | 53c | 111$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b2…b787backed Team Liquid | 57c | 105$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22f5…795bbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Team Liquid | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Team Liquid | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Aurora | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Aurora | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Aurora | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Liquid | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 96.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Aurora | 53c | 88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 67c | 87.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 81.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…eca9backed Team Liquid | 48c | 79.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Team Liquid | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…21d9backed Aurora | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b5bbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 68.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…a4a0backed Team Liquid | 41c | 68.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Aurora | 66c | 63.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…63bebacked Team Liquid | 55c | 61.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Team Liquid | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Team Liquid | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Liquid | 43c | 59.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…b8b4backed Aurora | 78c | 57.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | +17.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora | 46c | 55.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Liquid | 34c | 52.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 50.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 50.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…c0f4backed Team Liquid | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Aurora | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…aa06backed Aurora | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed Team Liquid | 53c | 47.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…9fecbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 45.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Aurora | 47c | 41.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c26…affabacked Aurora | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…0194backed Team Liquid | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…47a4backed Team Liquid | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Aurora | 58c | 33.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed Aurora | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…83b3backed Team Liquid | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…6c06backed Aurora | 50c | 23.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64cb…b0ebbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 23.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…916bbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…f494backed Aurora | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b97…3037backed Aurora | 57c | 19.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked Team Liquid | 58c | 17.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Aurora | 65c | 16.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group AAurora won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.