Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x498c2a1bbc43e638cf7e323c16528266b4f7649b3850471c307c0ad4330632d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Team Liquid, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Aurora | 64c | 7,271$4,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.38 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Liquid | 18c | 6,000$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.25 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 43c | 5,976$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.35 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 76c | 4,327$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.88 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid | 42c | 4,000$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid | 44c | 3,060$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 59c | 2,573$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.42 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Liquid | 14c | 2,470$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.53 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 38c | 1,959$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.32 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 58c | 1,813$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.67 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 1,290$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.1 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Aurora | 60c | 1,235$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.48 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 65c | 1,228$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.06 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Liquid | 3c | 1,100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 80c | 1,002$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.14 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Aurora | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 51c | 975.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.86 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Team Liquid | 43c | 934.43$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…886abacked Team Liquid | 28c | 917.62$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.67 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Aurora | 61c | 913.11$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.11 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Aurora | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Team Liquid | 24c | 743.24$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 56c | 667.87$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.67 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Aurora | 47c | 603.72$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.22 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Aurora | 49c | 600$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.8 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf03d…21fbbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 590.55$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Aurora | 45c | 570.73$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.9 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Aurora | 47c | 532.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.6 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 63c | 499.97$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.17 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Aurora | 59c | 445.68$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.02 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Aurora | 68c | 443.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.66 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Liquid | 43c | 355$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.15 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bda…6652backed Team Liquid | 4c | 322.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Team Liquid | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Team Liquid | 40c | 291.6$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f5…795bbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 45c | 246.69$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Team Liquid | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Aurora | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Liquid | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Liquid | 31c | 198.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 188.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 55c | 183.64$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…63bebacked Aurora | 55c | 181.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 180$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Aurora | 56c | 173.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.53 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 173.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Liquid | 58c | 172.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ee…6577backed Team Liquid | 12c | 167.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Aurora | 42c | 142.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Aurora | 63c | 129.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed Team Liquid | 58c | 120.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc0…5f47backed Team Liquid | 31c | 119.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 106.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Aurora | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b2…b787backed Team Liquid | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Liquid | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Liquid | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Team Liquid | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…eca9backed Aurora | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 81.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092b…45afbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 75.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Liquid | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Aurora | 46c | 72.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Liquid | 32c | 70.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Team Liquid | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…6c06backed Team Liquid | 36c | 65.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Team Liquid | 48c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Team Liquid | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…9fecbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 53.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b5bbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 51.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Aurora | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Team Liquid | 53c | 47.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 316 | 59.8%189 W · 127 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Aurora | 58c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed Aurora | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed Aurora | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora | 69c | 38.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…355abacked Team Liquid | 36c | 37.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d9…1efebacked Team Liquid | 49c | 33.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Aurora | 68c | 33.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 53c | 21.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce7…7ed4backed Team Liquid | 57c | 21.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…916bbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…baa3backed Aurora | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Team Liquid | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b1…3b84backed Aurora | 69c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Aurora | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group AAurora won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.