Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tauste: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Dominik Palan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2065b402234a579eb2540cdc61a6461379d5b657b4f721bde9edba5a806805b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pavlos Tsitsipasof Pavlos Tsitsipas, Dominik Palan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7544…e3aebacked Dominik Palan | 61c | 2,628$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.03 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 32c | 2,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.98 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 30c | 849.1$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.31 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 38c | 846$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.52 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…dcc2backed Dominik Palan | 66c | 804$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.66 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 34c | 599.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.9 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…9af1backed Dominik Palan | 68c | 565$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.27 | 117 | 66.7%78 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e97…6561backed Dominik Palan | 70c | 550$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Dominik Palan | 66c | 521.4$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.59 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 34c | 298$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.39 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedde…5db2backed Dominik Palan | 70c | 266$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dominik Palan | 66c | 233.94$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.94 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 32c | 220.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.27 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Dominik Palan | 68c | 219.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 466 | 58.6%273 W · 193 L | +24.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Dominik Palan | 68c | 217.15$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.66 | 421 | 59.1%249 W · 172 L | +25.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Dominik Palan | 68c | 214.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 329 | 63.8%210 W · 119 L | +36.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf09a…0450backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Dominik Palan | 68c | 204.97$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 395 | 60.3%238 W · 157 L | +28.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Dominik Palan | 67c | 192.58$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 392 | 57.7%226 W · 166 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 40c | 186$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.31 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 32c | 184.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.66 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Dominik Palan | 68c | 130.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.86 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Dominik Palan | 67c | 121.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dominik Palan | 37c | 109$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 33c | 98.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 33c | 96.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Dominik Palan | 74c | 60.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 396 | 46.5%184 W · 212 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 35c | 58.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Dominik Palan | 66c | 53.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…bf7bbacked Dominik Palan | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dominik Palan | 70c | 38.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Dominik Palan | 35c | 38.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Dominik Palan | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 42c | 25.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Dominik Palan | 65c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 278 | 55.8%155 W · 123 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked Dominik Palan | 74c | 23.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 45c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Dominik Palan | 57c | 18.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 76c | 14.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.