South American Leagues · resolved market
Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x208e63fdaa5df9662afba6084b709ec65b4302c6f030d99c1df7591595a2bc3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 58c | 508.93$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.38 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 50c | 504.37$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.19 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 39c | 399.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.99 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 349.64$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.45 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 349.04$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.52 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…d262backed No | 50c | 340$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 42c | 321.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.08 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 263.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.18 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 40c | 240$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 50c | 234$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 202.1$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…c41ebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 57c | 183.85$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…22fdbacked Yes | 46c | 136.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 47c | 129.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 50c | 128$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 44c | 125.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 49c | 122.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked No | 45c | 117.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 42c | 116.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes | 51c | 97.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…4e25backed Yes | 36c | 82.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed No | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 49c | 78.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 50c | 74.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 51c | 57.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 42c | 53.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 45c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9b21backed No | 52c | 41.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 75c | 39.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 45c | 26.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1b…ec82backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: Mirassol FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-2.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)Grêmio FBPA won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-2.5)Grêmio FBPA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.