South American Leagues · resolved market
Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1deedf2ac609ba13322172eebb2c4ac8c2c23d0b05606e2fdb33a513d13028d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 1,288$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.59 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Over | 32c | 757.25$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.97 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Under | 79c | 633.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 5c | 564.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 69c | 549.25$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.67 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Over | 9c | 499.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 69c | 357.71$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 65c | 356.34$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 46c | 334$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.64 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4481…1852backed Under | 72c | 327.65$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 22c | 277.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 53c | 230$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 63c | 214.92$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 31c | 190.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 23c | 164.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…0d85backed Over | 39c | 163.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Over | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Over | 23c | 144.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 17c | 130.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 53c | 105.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 76c | 101$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 55c | 58.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…31b3backed Under | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 41c | 45.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 36c | 45.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 39c | 43.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 43.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…387abacked Under | 77c | 43.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 42c | 43.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 54c | 38.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 78c | 32.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…1baabacked Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…d5fdbacked Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Under | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5this page
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: Mirassol FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-2.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)Grêmio FBPA won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-2.5)Grêmio FBPA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.