TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,232
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,232 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under39c13,600$5,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,309.861,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over61c13,152$8,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,106.9582434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under24c5,356$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.9421752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c3,827$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.27927.6%7 W · 85 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-51.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under51c3,801$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.992,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over53c3,016$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.063,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over59c2,896$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.51,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over54c2,790$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.514843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8397…a04dbacked Under40c2,607$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.192828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over51c2,089$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.9710128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over61c2,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.985851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Under25c1,925$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.9315945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Over44c1,650$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.972920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under35c1,642$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.5332139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under33c1,532$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.844843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over51c1,035$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.978833%29 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106624.2%16 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick15cpaid+312.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54020046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed Under62c806.94$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003917.9%7 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Over55c724.81$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3713748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c604.71$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.158,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over52c576.89$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.327925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under44c554$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.4535240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over52c542.23$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.4217440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Under56c536.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.393151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Under56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under42c515.28$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.992,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over51c509.99$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.67342.5%31 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over48c439.7$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.641,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under42c368.73$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.622,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over57c353.01$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0451750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over44c346.07$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.81,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over59c286.79$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4845746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over58c285.73$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0931349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Under56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under4c248.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3529047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over60c240$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9619150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over46c224.86$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.789651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under45c222.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005042%21 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under56c193.48$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.351,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under49c190$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6850643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over38c185$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.425147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under49c175$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1335046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93f1…be41backed Over69c161.14$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.441258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under57c150.88$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867347.9%35 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under49c149.51$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.895939%23 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Over76c147.42$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.385954.2%32 W · 27 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over45c141.84$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.012885.7%24 W · 4 L+10.6wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+139.3%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Under38c128.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3417051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under49c117.89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.548547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377463.5%47 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under55c95.76$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.671,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under43c91.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.744153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under38c91.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1629037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over45c90.69$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8815041.3%62 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71ba…dc2bbacked Under56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502119%4 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under41c88.11$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3495155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under49c84.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4251945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Over48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.338755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over75c81.79$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.126053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under42c75.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2531136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under25c72.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.071030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf958…31b3backed Under56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over44c70$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.23650%18 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2476…7eeebacked Over73c68.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.095164.7%33 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79d…0289backed Over76c66.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.027467.6%50 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under48c60.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under56c59.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.477048.6%34 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefd6…ca34backed Over57c57.02$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.272661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Under40c55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+94.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over45c52.82$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.052982.8%24 W · 5 L+11.1wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+93.6%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over44c52.01$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.122,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over37c51.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.353351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x489c…1a43backed Over66c50.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.25955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6789645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under33c47.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.527742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2deb…a787backed Over44c44.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.913438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over50c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2215625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Over67c40.3$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.35834.5%20 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked Over49c39.22$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202552%13 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+392.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaec8…c5d4backed Under56c32.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f2…131dbacked Under56c32.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over65c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.554858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Over61c26.27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.256543.1%28 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Under63c20.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Over76c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.848775.9%66 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.