South American Leagues · resolved market
Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ee0ab91c86021b5cbd03c190837a2d4edda63b72954c107d2dd4ffa034fad3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 39c | 13,600$5,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,309.86 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 61c | 13,152$8,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,106.95 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 24c | 5,356$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.94 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,827$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 51c | 3,801$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.99 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 53c | 3,016$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.06 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 59c | 2,896$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.5 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 54c | 2,790$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.51 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8397…a04dbacked Under | 40c | 2,607$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.19 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Over | 51c | 2,089$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.97 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Over | 61c | 2,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.98 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Under | 25c | 1,925$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.93 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Over | 44c | 1,650$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.97 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 35c | 1,642$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.53 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 33c | 1,532$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.8 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Over | 51c | 1,035$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.97 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e97…8908backed Under | 62c | 806.94$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Over | 55c | 724.81$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.37 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 604.71$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.15 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Over | 52c | 576.89$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.32 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 44c | 554$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.45 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 52c | 542.23$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.42 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Under | 56c | 536.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.39 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Under | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 515.28$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.99 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 51c | 509.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.6 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 439.7$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.64 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 368.73$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.62 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 57c | 353.01$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.04 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 44c | 346.07$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 59c | 286.79$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 58c | 285.73$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 4c | 248.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 60c | 240$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 46c | 224.86$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.78 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 45c | 222.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 56c | 193.48$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.35 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 49c | 190$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 38c | 185$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 49c | 175$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.13 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…be41backed Over | 69c | 161.14$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under | 57c | 150.88$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 49c | 149.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Over | 76c | 147.42$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 45c | 141.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.01 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 38c | 128.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 49c | 117.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 55c | 95.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 43c | 91.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 38c | 91.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 45c | 90.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ba…dc2bbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 41c | 88.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 49c | 84.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 75c | 81.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 42c | 75.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 25c | 72.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…31b3backed Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 73c | 68.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 76c | 66.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 48c | 60.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 56c | 59.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefd6…ca34backed Over | 57c | 57.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 45c | 52.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +11.1wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 52.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489c…1a43backed Over | 66c | 50.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 33c | 47.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 44c | 44.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Over | 67c | 40.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Over | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +392.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec8…c5d4backed Under | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Over | 61c | 26.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Under | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Over | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5this page
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: Mirassol FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-2.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)Grêmio FBPA won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-2.5)Grêmio FBPA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.