Lol · resolved market
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20e0c6a96fb2266115aabf8e3b58f4043eead60fb43477c7f40a8ca35c413c76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MVK Esportsof MVK Esports, CTBC Flying Oyster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 1c | 10,120$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed MVK Esports | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked MVK Esports | 64c | 1,586$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.1 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 36c | 1,483$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.65 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 5c | 1,350$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 3c | 1,215$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 36c | 791.67$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…2dd4backed MVK Esports | 76c | 691.28$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.04 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +16.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 5c | 611$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked MVK Esports | 62c | 467.5$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.65 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 37c | 463.33$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 38c | 457$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.58 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 37c | 453.6$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.3 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked MVK Esports | 63c | 446.81$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.36 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 26c | 400$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 41c | 399.97$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 37c | 375.21$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.68 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed MVK Esports | 57c | 372.35$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.91 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed MVK Esports | 64c | 339$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed MVK Esports | 64c | 332.35$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.65 | 588 | 50.5%297 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed MVK Esports | 56c | 312.67$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.58 | 386 | 59.8%231 W · 155 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 39c | 281.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.58 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed MVK Esports | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 645 | 53.3%344 W · 301 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 38c | 210$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 31c | 206.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50fb…60cbbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 38c | 187$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed MVK Esports | 64c | 171$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 38c | 155.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 34c | 119.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 46c | 101.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…895dbacked MVK Esports | 54c | 101.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 218 | 59.6%130 W · 88 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed MVK Esports | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed MVK Esports | 75c | 98.49$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…34e9backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 36c | 96.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 775 | 45%349 W · 426 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked MVK Esports | 65c | 90.21$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…1b18backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 14c | 73.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9195backed MVK Esports | 65c | 64.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked MVK Esports | 64c | 64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 331 | 53.2%176 W · 155 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed MVK Esports | 58c | 56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 347 | 43.5%151 W · 196 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked MVK Esports | 76c | 52.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked MVK Esports | 66c | 43.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 386 | 55.2%213 W · 173 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed MVK Esports | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed MVK Esports | 78c | 31.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed MVK Esports | 66c | 28.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 664 | 58%385 W · 279 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked MVK Esports | 67c | 14.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…fc99backed MVK Esports | 75c | 14.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MVK (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5)CTBC Flying Oyster won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP PlayoffsMVK Esports won
- LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 WinnerCTBC Flying Oyster won
- LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 WinnerMVK Esports won
- LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 WinnerCTBC Flying Oyster won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.