Lol · resolved market
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb82a80a1512c2deda4f4e1c17063b1bd351e19027b0c5dea262898c22b814fb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MVK Esportsof MVK Esports, CTBC Flying Oyster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 788 | 9.8%77 W · 711 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 37c | 3,066$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146 | 909 | 37.3%339 W · 570 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 43c | 2,281$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.08 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 23c | 2,063$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.96 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 22c | 1,824$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.9 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed MVK Esports | 62c | 1,774$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.11 | 1,310 | 55.8%731 W · 579 L | +43.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed MVK Esports | 63c | 1,762$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.5 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 35c | 1,542$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.97 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 5c | 1,500$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 1,520 | 3.3%50 W · 1,470 L | -54.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked MVK Esports | 62c | 1,033$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.23 | 1,219 | 54.5%664 W · 555 L | +52.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed MVK Esports | 61c | 1,000$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.66 | 598 | 54.2%324 W · 274 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eef…803dbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed MVK Esports | 60c | 955$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.12 | 1,596 | 53.7%857 W · 739 L | +56.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 37c | 745.95$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MVK Esports | 56c | 742.79$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.83 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed MVK Esports | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed MVK Esports | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed MVK Esports | 72c | 591.92$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.61 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 24c | 560$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.16 | 1,009 | 48.2%486 W · 523 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 45c | 554.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.71 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked MVK Esports | 56c | 460$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.18 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MVK Esports | 57c | 423$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.89 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed MVK Esports | 58c | 356.54$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.47 | 440 | 39.5%174 W · 266 L | -25.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked MVK Esports | 58c | 355$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.9 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 31c | 352.31$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.44 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed MVK Esports | 63c | 314.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 588 | 50.5%297 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed MVK Esports | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 645 | 53.3%344 W · 301 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed MVK Esports | 56c | 235.62$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.67 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed MVK Esports | 59c | 177$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fab…e336backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 9c | 170$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed MVK Esports | 66c | 164.26$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 707 | 57%403 W · 304 L | +35.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked MVK Esports | 64c | 164$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 331 | 53.2%176 W · 155 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 36c | 161.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed MVK Esports | 64c | 159$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 962 | 54.3%522 W · 440 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 42c | 149.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed MVK Esports | 62c | 140.21$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 1,441 | 57.4%827 W · 614 L | +35.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MVK Esports | 56c | 140$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 38c | 127.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 1,540 | 62.6%964 W · 576 L | +158.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed MVK Esports | 55c | 125.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed MVK Esports | 52c | 122.81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed MVK Esports | 76c | 119.34$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 414 | 68.4%283 W · 131 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 36c | 101$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 23c | 95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 20c | 93.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 41c | 93.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 24c | 89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 345 | 36.5%126 W · 219 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed MVK Esports | 56c | 68.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed MVK Esports | 56c | 68.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…34e9backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 37c | 66.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 775 | 45%349 W · 426 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked MVK Esports | 62c | 66.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 1,189 | 48.1%572 W · 617 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 40c | 60.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed MVK Esports | 64c | 56.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 38c | 51.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MVK Esports | 78c | 42.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 31c | 32.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa291…0d81backed MVK Esports | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked MVK Esports | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 295 | 36.9%109 W · 186 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 41c | 24.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed MVK Esports | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed MVK Esports | 61c | 19.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 574 | 51.4%295 W · 279 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed MVK Esports | 77c | 14.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 522 | 52.5%274 W · 248 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MVK (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5)CTBC Flying Oyster won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP PlayoffsMVK Esports won
- LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 WinnerCTBC Flying Oyster won
- LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 WinnerCTBC Flying Oyster won
- LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 4 WinnerMVK Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.