Tennis · resolved market
Quebec City: Tristan Boyer vs James Watt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21400af6fb7315dc92ce58ccc82c1f430d56bef40d5fc6c0039b4a163b267e35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- James Wattof Tristan Boyer, James Watt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked James Watt | 57c | 2,259$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.61 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tristan Boyer | 34c | 1,756$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.63 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked James Watt | 43c | 1,658$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.01 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed James Watt | 66c | 1,177$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.7 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed James Watt | 78c | 1,084$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.57 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked James Watt | 71c | 993.61$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.75 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Tristan Boyer | 70c | 795$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.5 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Tristan Boyer | 73c | 741.11$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.01 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed James Watt | 47c | 614.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.95 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Tristan Boyer | 47c | 542.55$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Tristan Boyer | 59c | 523.62$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.37 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1840…fbd1backed Tristan Boyer | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Tristan Boyer | 6c | 497.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tristan Boyer | 17c | 446.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Tristan Boyer | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Tristan Boyer | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Tristan Boyer | 67c | 403.13$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.13 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Tristan Boyer | 26c | 300$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed James Watt | 31c | 290.32$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.32 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Tristan Boyer | 70c | 208.21$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Tristan Boyer | 15c | 195$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed James Watt | 76c | 190.73$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Tristan Boyer | 34c | 177.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 242 | 31%75 W · 167 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Tristan Boyer | 26c | 174.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tristan Boyer | 47c | 161.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Tristan Boyer | 55c | 141.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Tristan Boyer | 26c | 141$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked James Watt | 22c | 135$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8824…9c22backed Tristan Boyer | 63c | 134.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed James Watt | 27c | 108.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…8fa3backed Tristan Boyer | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…3798backed James Watt | 23c | 103.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.78 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed James Watt | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed James Watt | 28c | 89.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 187 | 24.6%46 W · 141 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed James Watt | 23c | 86.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed James Watt | 75c | 83.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 232 | 56.5%131 W · 101 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked James Watt | 60c | 83.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked James Watt | 72c | 76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed James Watt | 54c | 70.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Tristan Boyer | 72c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 117 | 60.7%71 W · 46 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…8f3bbacked Tristan Boyer | 80c | 64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed James Watt | 21c | 63.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 306 | 44.1%135 W · 171 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed James Watt | 47c | 61.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed James Watt | 27c | 58.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 319 | 48.9%156 W · 163 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Tristan Boyer | 38c | 54.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 468 | 51.5%241 W · 227 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Tristan Boyer | 76c | 53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Tristan Boyer | 72c | 51.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Tristan Boyer | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…d394backed Tristan Boyer | 57c | 48.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed James Watt | 43c | 47.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Tristan Boyer | 79c | 46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Tristan Boyer | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed James Watt | 27c | 44.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Tristan Boyer | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 329 | 37.1%122 W · 207 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Tristan Boyer | 74c | 40.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Tristan Boyer | 75c | 39.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed James Watt | 75c | 39.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Tristan Boyer | 76c | 39.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Tristan Boyer | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Tristan Boyer | 56c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Tristan Boyer | 77c | 37.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 337 | 54%182 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Tristan Boyer | 42c | 25.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked James Watt | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Tristan Boyer | 80c | 24.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Tristan Boyer | 71c | 23.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed James Watt | 75c | 17.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.