Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Waves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21c47f5e073aa05cd6c251f55b5ac9b7b88bda63cf7114471c2c16415abc5db7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Torerosof San Diego Toreros, Pepperdine Waves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Pepperdine Waves | 44c | 40,636$17,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,839.52 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked San Diego Toreros | 56c | 12,500$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Diego Toreros | 56c | 12,378$6,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,473.75 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Diego Toreros | 56c | 5,916$3,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.16 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed San Diego Toreros | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed San Diego Toreros | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Diego Toreros | 60c | 1,452$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.8 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Toreros | 63c | 1,380$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.32 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pepperdine Waves | 45c | 938$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.72 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pepperdine Waves | 44c | 804.98$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.24 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed San Diego Toreros | 60c | 673.54$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.35 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed San Diego Toreros | 56c | 649.55$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.84 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed San Diego Toreros | 56c | 540$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed San Diego Toreros | 56c | 539$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.03 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed San Diego Toreros | 57c | 537.63$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.78 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed San Diego Toreros | 55c | 537$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.17 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed San Diego Toreros | 57c | 535.34$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.2 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego Toreros | 52c | 529.1$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.49 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Pepperdine Waves | 2c | 526.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed San Diego Toreros | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Pepperdine Waves | 47c | 335.67$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.8 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed San Diego Toreros | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Pepperdine Waves | 62c | 243.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pepperdine Waves | 46c | 214$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed San Diego Toreros | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…c7aebacked San Diego Toreros | 72c | 174$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed San Diego Toreros | 62c | 158$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Pepperdine Waves | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked San Diego Toreros | 37c | 135.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Pepperdine Waves | 51c | 132.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Diego Toreros | 9c | 120.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked San Diego Toreros | 55c | 118$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed San Diego Toreros | 57c | 116.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pepperdine Waves | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pepperdine Waves | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed San Diego Toreros | 58c | 77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked San Diego Toreros | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Toreros | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Pepperdine Waves | 41c | 68.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pepperdine Waves | 55c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked San Diego Toreros | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Pepperdine Waves | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed San Diego Toreros | 57c | 51.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed San Diego Toreros | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed San Diego Toreros | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked San Diego Toreros | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed San Diego Toreros | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed San Diego Toreros | 58c | 28.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed San Diego Toreros | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Wavesthis page
- San Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Waves: O/U 149.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.