Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Verbier Women: Elsa Bonelli vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21c91f1820ed99065dbda17590cd609f0d3e577ccaf0027255241b398dfca87c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elsa Bonelliof Elsa Bonelli, Tiphanie Lemaitre
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tiphanie Lemaitre | 31c | 1,190$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elsa Bonelli | 45c | 1,179$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.24 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Elsa Bonelli | 77c | 942.59$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.1 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Tiphanie Lemaitre | 27c | 402.88$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.09 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Tiphanie Lemaitre | 37c | 232.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elsa Bonelli | 64c | 217.17$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Elsa Bonelli | 69c | 199$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Elsa Bonelli | 66c | 151.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Elsa Bonelli | 64c | 128.23$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Tiphanie Lemaitre | 55c | 112$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Tiphanie Lemaitre | 27c | 110.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 329 | 37.1%122 W · 207 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Tiphanie Lemaitre | 55c | 109.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Tiphanie Lemaitre | 55c | 108.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Tiphanie Lemaitre | 55c | 107.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Tiphanie Lemaitre | 53c | 103.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Tiphanie Lemaitre | 55c | 102.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Tiphanie Lemaitre | 55c | 101.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6851…ec54backed Elsa Bonelli | 74c | 99.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Tiphanie Lemaitre | 55c | 96.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Tiphanie Lemaitre | 55c | 95.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tiphanie Lemaitre | 26c | 55.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Elsa Bonelli | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Tiphanie Lemaitre | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tiphanie Lemaitre | 34c | 43.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tiphanie Lemaitre | 35c | 40.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Elsa Bonelli | 74c | 37.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Tiphanie Lemaitre | 34c | 30.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe75…5af2backed Tiphanie Lemaitre | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +12.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Elsa Bonelli | 72c | 27.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Elsa Bonelli | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Elsa Bonelli | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…7bb8backed Elsa Bonelli | 74c | 18.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Elsa Bonelli | 67c | 18.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Elsa Bonelli | 77c | 13.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.