Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Hsieh/Wang vs Mertens/Zhang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21f95f3ca1560a8083d98127d7b27894beb8617c0bb59de67097636171183bee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hsieh/Wangof Hsieh/Wang, Mertens/Zhang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Mertens/Zhang | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.99 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hsieh/Wang | 44c | 2,539$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.08 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hsieh/Wang | 43c | 1,516$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.62 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hsieh/Wang | 65c | 1,161$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.65 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Mertens/Zhang | 38c | 799.99$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 207 | 49.8%103 W · 104 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Mertens/Zhang | 30c | 535.29$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.29 | 526 | 44.3%233 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Hsieh/Wang | 44c | 474.05$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.46 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mertens/Zhang | 46c | 369.64$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.49 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Hsieh/Wang | 45c | 200.09$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.05 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Hsieh/Wang | 43c | 167$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.19 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Hsieh/Wang | 43c | 159.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Hsieh/Wang | 44c | 159$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mertens/Zhang | 27c | 132.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Hsieh/Wang | 53c | 121.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…8c57backed Mertens/Zhang | 25c | 110.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Hsieh/Wang | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Mertens/Zhang | 59c | 99.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb750…2b6cbacked Hsieh/Wang | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hsieh/Wang | 35c | 97.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Hsieh/Wang | 45c | 72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Hsieh/Wang | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…620ebacked Hsieh/Wang | 67c | 59.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Mertens/Zhang | 45c | 58.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Mertens/Zhang | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Hsieh/Wang | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Mertens/Zhang | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Hsieh/Wang | 73c | 38.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 676 | 78.7%532 W · 144 L | +49.5wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2819…c2fcbacked Mertens/Zhang | 50c | 36.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…82c5backed Mertens/Zhang | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…0fe0backed Hsieh/Wang | 33c | 32.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Mertens/Zhang | 51c | 31.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Hsieh/Wang | 54c | 30.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Hsieh/Wang | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Hsieh/Wang | 73c | 29.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Mertens/Zhang | 49c | 26.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Hsieh/Wang | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c8…a24abacked Mertens/Zhang | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Hsieh/Wang | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Hsieh/Wang | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 336 | 56.8%191 W · 145 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…30cabacked Mertens/Zhang | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked Hsieh/Wang | 64c | 16.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…77cfbacked Mertens/Zhang | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.