CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x237bf2cabab3602db3d75feba6764543b84521227986e60bac42e404c0a12812
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof AM Gaming, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 1,287$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.08 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUBY | 61c | 1,146$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.64 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed AM Gaming | 42c | 1,064$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.66 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AM Gaming | 34c | 943.54$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.01 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 697.76$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.58 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed AM Gaming | 42c | 613.4$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed AM Gaming | 18c | 606.19$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.84 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 306.31$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.65 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked AM Gaming | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked AM Gaming | 34c | 199.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…9bf5backed AM Gaming | 40c | 190.35$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed AM Gaming | 42c | 177.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed AM Gaming | 42c | 159.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed AM Gaming | 17c | 155$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked AM Gaming | 45c | 151.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked AM Gaming | 36c | 147.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…3759backed AM Gaming | 42c | 110.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked ex-RUBY | 68c | 95.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed AM Gaming | 33c | 72.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed ex-RUBY | 66c | 70.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…1d29backed AM Gaming | 42c | 68.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked AM Gaming | 41c | 62.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe232…6ceabacked AM Gaming | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed AM Gaming | 35c | 46.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed AM Gaming | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked ex-RUBY | 77c | 37.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed AM Gaming | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed AM Gaming | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 26.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 25.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a51…4ef6backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs AM Gaming (+1.5)ex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.