CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa52d29eeea17288a74e7130544ab81ed81122c60894dfb2b7893ae74c8f1a889
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof AM Gaming, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 1,289$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.08 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUBY | 66c | 1,030$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.23 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed AM Gaming | 42c | 1,010$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.4 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 800.07$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.38 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa644…026ebacked AM Gaming | 43c | 585.49$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 67c | 519.76$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.59 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked AM Gaming | 38c | 416$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.13 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04c…55d3backed ex-RUBY | 52c | 393.3$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.31 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…b15bbacked AM Gaming | 24c | 349.58$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed AM Gaming | 50c | 321$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.2 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 295$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AM Gaming | 30c | 277.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 273.43$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-RUBY | 78c | 252$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed AM Gaming | 32c | 246.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked AM Gaming | 42c | 232.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.86 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked AM Gaming | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed AM Gaming | 42c | 192.42$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed AM Gaming | 33c | 186.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…891cbacked AM Gaming | 42c | 177.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked AM Gaming | 24c | 170.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed AM Gaming | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed AM Gaming | 31c | 146$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-RUBY | 79c | 133.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 111.48$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed ex-RUBY | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked AM Gaming | 35c | 101$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked AM Gaming | 55c | 100.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUBY | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed AM Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54d…05f6backed AM Gaming | 41c | 89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 87.34$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed AM Gaming | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 151 | 57%86 W · 65 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed AM Gaming | 33c | 79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked AM Gaming | 33c | 72.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked AM Gaming | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a51…4ef6backed AM Gaming | 54c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe232…6ceabacked AM Gaming | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed AM Gaming | 17c | 58.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed AM Gaming | 42c | 58.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed ex-RUBY | 69c | 53.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed AM Gaming | 44c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 39.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ex-RUBY | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked AM Gaming | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…1d29backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 25.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed ex-RUBY | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs AM Gaming (+1.5)ex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.