Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Essex
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23ee03e78388981c8eff6d13723df5efca80544bd3cb75bab4f65b17bdc9402c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northamptonshireof Northamptonshire, Essex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Essex | 5c | 2,576$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.41 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Northamptonshire | 68c | 1,590$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.04 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Essex | 34c | 1,346$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.51 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…99aebacked Essex | 18c | 542.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 27.6%40 W · 105 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Northamptonshire | 71c | 346.84$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Essex | 12c | 317.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Essex | 23c | 316.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Northamptonshire | 61c | 268.84$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.85 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Northamptonshire | 78c | 226.5$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Northamptonshire | 73c | 209.39$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.32 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Essex | 15c | 207.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Northamptonshire | 65c | 199.49$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Essex | 23c | 150.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Northamptonshire | 66c | 149.13$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Essex | 25c | 125.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Essex | 26c | 122$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Essex | 41c | 110.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Essex | 24c | 100.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Northamptonshire | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Essex | 12c | 88.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Northamptonshire | 59c | 82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Essex | 29c | 72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Essex | 33c | 67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Essex | 23c | 56.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Northamptonshire | 60c | 30.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Essexthis page
- T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Essex - Who wins the toss?Essex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.