Tennis · resolved market
Tauson vs. Krejcikova: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2568d79d873fe1179fcc60a32c4580d347003346ff4b6ed2c09692972bec23e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 52c | 7,723$4,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.61 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 3,892$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.31 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 48c | 3,548$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.09 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Over | 53c | 1,905$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.71 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Over | 52c | 501.19$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.57 | 220 | 50.9%112 W · 108 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 47c | 280$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under | 49c | 246.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.55 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Under | 49c | 221.1$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 48c | 199$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Under | 49c | 101$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…07c3backed Over | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 68.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 49c | 55.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Under | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Over | 50c | 49.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 51c | 44.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Under | 49c | 42.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 46c | 22.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tauson vs. Krejcikova: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Athens Open: Clara Tauson vs Barbora KrejcikovaBarbora Krejcikova won
- Clara Tauson vs. Barbora Krejcikova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Tauson vs KrejcikovaKrejcikova won
- Set 2 Winner: Tauson vs KrejcikovaTauson won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.