TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs SAW (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fluxo W7Mof Fluxo W7M, SAW
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,817
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,817 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51db…f9b3backed SAW37c1,689$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.956,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked SAW38c1,533$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.043,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Fluxo W7M73c1,341$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.6131642.1%133 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed SAW1c1,300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191030%0 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked SAW1c1,300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193622.2%8 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed SAW39c1,054$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.8548437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked SAW2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked SAW2c900$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked SAW26c855$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.759027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked SAW37c661.13$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.7262738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed SAW27c617.49$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7187244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Fluxo W7M73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16228549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Fluxo W7M70c519.74$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.244,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Fluxo W7M73c517.62$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6211247.3%53 W · 59 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked SAW36c500$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18253545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked SAW45c487.44$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.393,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fluxo W7M69c463.22$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.547,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked SAW15c448.66$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4624538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed SAW28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1125,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked SAW29c381.75$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.715,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked SAW13c375$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4931328.4%89 W · 224 L-21.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed Fluxo W7M56c357.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3624429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Fluxo W7M65c312.88$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.112,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Fluxo W7M41c303.75$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.8531452.2%164 W · 150 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked SAW50c289$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.043,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5229…2befbacked SAW28c268.07$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.748739.1%34 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Fluxo W7M60c238.21$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2857358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb59…fb90backed SAW32c231$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.475048%24 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked SAW26c229.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.391,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed SAW36c221.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.975,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked SAW31c220$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.415935.2%56 W · 103 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed SAW36c217$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.914,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Fluxo W7M73c213.8$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.820952.6%110 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2d…54cfbacked Fluxo W7M72c210$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Fluxo W7M39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12220358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed SAW35c188$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3545224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked SAW14c174$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3619540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked SAW28c170$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.861,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed Fluxo W7M66c166.95$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7616741.9%70 W · 97 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked SAW17c164.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0122838.6%88 W · 140 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Fluxo W7M74c158.49$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3719850.5%100 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Fluxo W7M35c156.08$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0836151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x883a…73b0backed Fluxo W7M70c154.04$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.511054.5%60 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed SAW27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.554032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed SAW29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.543933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Fluxo W7M65c144.79$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.081,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Fluxo W7M73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9948562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed Fluxo W7M73c133$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.967946.8%37 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed SAW30c125$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.521739.2%85 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed SAW26c120$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed SAW38c119$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.752,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Fluxo W7M69c115$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1438942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed SAW24c109.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.962,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xd6dd…c6b6backed Fluxo W7M59c108.84$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.166634.8%23 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Fluxo W7M39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5669635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed SAW35c101$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7222324.7%55 W · 168 L-21.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Fluxo W7M70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3018549.2%91 W · 94 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed SAW31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317537.3%28 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed Fluxo W7M47c95.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7423161.5%142 W · 89 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed SAW28c95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.533627.7%93 W · 243 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Fluxo W7M73c93$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2949745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked SAW28c93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0417150.3%86 W · 85 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Fluxo W7M60c91.56$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0710541%43 W · 62 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed SAW27c82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.264439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Fluxo W7M73c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.639237.2%146 W · 246 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Fluxo W7M37c79.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.048855.7%49 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Fluxo W7M68c76$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5638858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Fluxo W7M68c75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1824747%116 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x101c…7e34backed SAW27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202737%10 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf11a…1002backed SAW37c68.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4627848.6%135 W · 143 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cce…c2b3backed Fluxo W7M50c66.68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.391250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Fluxo W7M65c65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6515965.4%104 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a44…8e3fbacked Fluxo W7M40c62.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.491942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked Fluxo W7M63c60.71$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4641640.6%169 W · 247 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked SAW21c60.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9729555.3%163 W · 132 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1193…d9c4backed SAW27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.92245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f5…7a95backed Fluxo W7M66c59.14$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9323751.5%122 W · 115 L-14.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Fluxo W7M68c56.9$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9647053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed SAW49c55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.953745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad46…7bc9backed Fluxo W7M56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.57450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Fluxo W7M59c50.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7415352.3%80 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeda…001ebacked SAW25c47.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.994847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Fluxo W7M60c47.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.017744.2%34 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked SAW28c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.532,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Fluxo W7M57c43.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8336649.5%181 W · 185 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Fluxo W7M61c42.66$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.63,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb0…f195backed Fluxo W7M60c42.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.93520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x931c…bf4bbacked Fluxo W7M71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.632351.4%166 W · 157 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Fluxo W7M71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.638753.2%206 W · 181 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed SAW47c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.392,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…713dbacked Fluxo W7M55c36.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.064228.6%12 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6ab…5080backed SAW74c35.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.127361.6%45 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Fluxo W7M71c32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3654346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Fluxo W7M65c27.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6332443.5%141 W · 183 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb379…28fabacked Fluxo W7M43c23.3$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.287234.7%25 W · 47 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2df…2368backed Fluxo W7M65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0811750.4%59 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad8e…20fabacked Fluxo W7M68c22.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.08862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed SAW47c21.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3326958.4%157 W · 112 L+20.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e96…f2debacked Fluxo W7M66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.89753.6%52 W · 45 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked SAW74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.