NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x269807a857008a71784a771d9d81e592a512a889d15777b31dc1556d7572ef95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Penguins, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Penguins | 28c | 3,344$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.89 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penguins | 22c | 3,261$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.82 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche | 70c | 1,741$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.17 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Avalanche | 71c | 1,502$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.58 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Penguins | 29c | 1,498$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Penguins | 30c | 1,403$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.91 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Avalanche | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Avalanche | 72c | 744.46$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.46 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Avalanche | 64c | 625.88$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.32 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Avalanche | 72c | 616.75$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.69 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Avalanche | 71c | 589.98$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.1 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Avalanche | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f52…6ff2backed Penguins | 29c | 455.89$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.21 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Penguins | 25c | 391.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche | 70c | 377.48$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.92 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 20c | 340.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Avalanche | 69c | 340.4$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.52 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…5dc7backed Avalanche | 71c | 329.13$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d2…60f6backed Penguins | 29c | 317.38$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Avalanche | 66c | 304.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.41 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…a099backed Penguins | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche | 70c | 227.26$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9178backed Penguins | 41c | 223.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.85 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0375…b9f2backed Penguins | 29c | 220.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1c…d6bebacked Avalanche | 71c | 208.68$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…eaa7backed Avalanche | 78c | 205.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Avalanche | 63c | 202.46$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Avalanche | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…18b7backed Penguins | 30c | 186.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb162…28cfbacked Penguins | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Penguins | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Avalanche | 73c | 162$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…c6e1backed Penguins | 30c | 154.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…c723backed Avalanche | 71c | 151.83$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Avalanche | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…ee9fbacked Penguins | 30c | 137.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x326a…8fabbacked Penguins | 42c | 126.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…41b0backed Penguins | 31c | 126.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Penguins | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Avalanche | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Avalanche | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Avalanche | 71c | 99.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Avalanche | 65c | 98.46$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Avalanche | 69c | 86.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed34…5f6abacked Penguins | 42c | 84.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…681ebacked Avalanche | 71c | 84.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…a78fbacked Penguins | 30c | 81.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…6e79backed Avalanche | 71c | 76.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227b…7ab7backed Avalanche | 71c | 74.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd8…6d0cbacked Penguins | 29c | 74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…4b79backed Penguins | 30c | 73.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b09…4753backed Avalanche | 72c | 73.44$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Penguins | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481e…0808backed Avalanche | 72c | 72.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe844…638bbacked Avalanche | 72c | 72.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Penguins | 34c | 70.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8028…52e7backed Avalanche | 72c | 70.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e9…a50ebacked Avalanche | 71c | 69.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Avalanche | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8243…fd27backed Penguins | 29c | 69.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4150…b1ffbacked Avalanche | 72c | 68.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf11…b073backed Avalanche | 72c | 67.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ac…7c26backed Penguins | 30c | 67.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…5b9abacked Penguins | 30c | 66.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe95d…d81bbacked Avalanche | 72c | 63.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb281…f27abacked Penguins | 29c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…0dc6backed Avalanche | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbc…0f97backed Penguins | 29c | 62.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x886b…00cbbacked Penguins | 31c | 61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd04…29d6backed Avalanche | 72c | 60.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Avalanche | 67c | 60.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Penguins | 29c | 59.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2169…e76ebacked Penguins | 30c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…31c1backed Penguins | 29c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fe…bd00backed Penguins | 29c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6e…7009backed Avalanche | 71c | 54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Penguins | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…5a2ebacked Avalanche | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0c5abacked Penguins | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…d9afbacked Penguins | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…4475backed Penguins | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5d…b6f0backed Avalanche | 69c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f0…abb0backed Penguins | 29c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Penguins | 30c | 45.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4b…8ad3backed Penguins | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850e…39eebacked Penguins | 30c | 42.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…b00abacked Avalanche | 71c | 42.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Penguins | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…0fb2backed Avalanche | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a8…b903backed Avalanche | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +52%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfba4…8964backed Penguins | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…e6debacked Avalanche | 71c | 40.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38de…55cebacked Penguins | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d5…d200backed Avalanche | 72c | 37.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…7c40backed Avalanche | 72c | 36.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Avalanche | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.