Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26bcbd3b250ef6dd347af2d4e0c132e272c1ece56643fb5e79b362aa56e8b083
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 53c | 10,000$5,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,711.68 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 47c | 8,241$3,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,857.56 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 50c | 4,880$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.88 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 44c | 3,943$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.17 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…e8a8backed Yes | 50c | 2,148$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 4c | 1,063$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…5496backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 50c | 903.95$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.04 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Yes | 49c | 850.61$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.06 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 69c | 777.84$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.98 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…b5f8backed Yes | 47c | 515$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.05 | 200 | 17%34 W · 166 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4529…3d44backed No | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 54c | 457$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.22 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed No | 53c | 422.45$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.55 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…91c6backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed No | 52c | 301.62$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.78 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b1…752ebacked No | 51c | 301.62$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +477.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 54c | 296.87$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.56 | 170 | 52.9%90 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeec…99c8backed Yes | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…c177backed No | 53c | 272.09$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +185.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed No | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x474c…16aabacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Yes | 47c | 208.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b39…c9d6backed Yes | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 46c | 161.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…a234backed Yes | 50c | 156$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 54c | 154.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb636…8580backed No | 54c | 140.02$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed No | 51c | 117.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…e971backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 35.8%102 W · 183 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…5e57backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…f49ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 51c | 97.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc106…c26cbacked Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 62.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…e294backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 301 | 48.2%145 W · 156 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…5e92backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…ff57backed Yes | 50c | 50.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…4718backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 135 | 37%50 W · 85 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 53c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591b…8410backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Yes | 47c | 38.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 44c | 30.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…163abacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 54c | 29.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…4e04backed Yes | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…da5dbacked Yes | 47c | 24.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 67c | 23.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 55c | 21.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 53c | 20.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0c…8ccdbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed No | 53c | 19.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 53c | 18.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil to win the second half?this page
- Brazil vs. Norway: Second half draw?No won
- Norway to win the second half?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.