Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Norway: Second half draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d474e1db8942002034f3009c0bbf0ce904d4c2632fd283379b2491955a5f1d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 29c | 608.53$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.71 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 76c | 421.43$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.45 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…5e92backed Yes | 41c | 366.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.08 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 28c | 338.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb79…47a9backed Yes | 33c | 306.15$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 35c | 286.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 64c | 241.57$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 55c | 225.18$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 51c | 208.43$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.13 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 63c | 173$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 158.2$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked No | 72c | 120.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 31c | 113.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0720backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 69c | 97.05$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f9…7d44backed Yes | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…49bcbacked No | 69c | 62.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 66c | 60.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 33c | 56.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 64c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 30c | 42.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…eb43backed No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 64c | 39.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 65c | 27.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 26.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 68c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 67c | 22.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…6be7backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 66c | 17.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Norway: Second half draw?this page
- Brazil to win the second half?No won
- Norway to win the second half?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.