CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x271e1c24efa360a5694a4b7cf33a4d09b400c4f04342a26fa1361841f5e58509
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Yawara Esports, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Yawara Esports | 41c | 1,103$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.47 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Keyd | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.99 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yawara Esports | 45c | 724.65$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.54 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Yawara Esports | 44c | 663$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.22 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Keyd | 59c | 310$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.88 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Yawara Esports | 44c | 287.49$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Keyd | 55c | 247.69$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.23 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed Yawara Esports | 45c | 241.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Keyd | 54c | 236.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.01 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Yawara Esports | 46c | 236.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.01 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Keyd | 57c | 202.94$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Yawara Esports | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Yawara Esports | 43c | 198.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Keyd | 62c | 193.54$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Keyd | 59c | 184.05$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.36 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…3378backed Keyd | 66c | 174.48$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Yawara Esports | 46c | 163.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Yawara Esports | 27c | 163.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Keyd | 54c | 152.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Keyd | 54c | 150.65$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Yawara Esports | 44c | 133.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yawara Esports | 40c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Keyd | 68c | 122.09$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Keyd | 64c | 114.54$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Keyd | 59c | 113.56$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Yawara Esports | 43c | 113.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Yawara Esports | 21c | 112.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Yawara Esports | 43c | 109.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6572…ee63backed Keyd | 65c | 101.12$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Keyd | 66c | 87.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Keyd | 62c | 84.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Keyd | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Yawara Esports | 45c | 78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Yawara Esports | 40c | 77.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Keyd | 53c | 72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e78…fb29backed Keyd | 60c | 66.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yawara Esports | 37c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yawara Esports | 46c | 61.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Keyd | 59c | 60.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Keyd | 61c | 60.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Yawara Esports | 43c | 59.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Yawara Esports | 43c | 57.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Keyd | 66c | 50.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 154 | 69.5%107 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed Keyd | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Keyd | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yawara Esports | 38c | 47.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Yawara Esports | 52c | 45.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yawara Esports | 34c | 44.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Yawara Esports | 32c | 42.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yawara Esports | 39c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yawara Esports | 45c | 40.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yawara Esports | 45c | 39.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Keyd | 59c | 39.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Keyd | 67c | 37.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Yawara Esports | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Keyd | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yawara Esports | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yawara Esports | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…462ebacked Keyd | 65c | 26.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Keyd | 69c | 25.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 WinnerYawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.