CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb900258bd1e3749a3c61a825d53c6a57cbd0c7833deedb5145e516c4d1f65505
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof Yawara Esports, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Keyd | 48c | 2,156$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.16 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Yawara Esports | 44c | 979.98$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.43 | 255 | 53.3%136 W · 119 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yawara Esports | 46c | 789.99$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.26 | 531 | 35%186 W · 345 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Keyd | 34c | 579.93$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Keyd | 55c | 516.69$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.3 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Yawara Esports | 57c | 502.22$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.22 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Keyd | 42c | 415.87$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.92 | 204 | 36.8%75 W · 129 L | -15.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Yawara Esports | 50c | 385.41$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.94 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Keyd | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Keyd | 43c | 299.5$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.94 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Keyd | 78c | 260.7$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.03 | 431 | 75.9%327 W · 104 L | +24.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yawara Esports | 49c | 246.77$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.85 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Keyd | 53c | 178.28$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.73 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Keyd | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yawara Esports | 59c | 140$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Yawara Esports | 39c | 139.02$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Keyd | 52c | 136.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yawara Esports | 55c | 126.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 503 | 49.3%248 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Yawara Esports | 52c | 124.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yawara Esports | 63c | 120.21$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Yawara Esports | 40c | 118.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ee…a0bbbacked Yawara Esports | 49c | 116.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Keyd | 62c | 113.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 821 | 42.5%349 W · 472 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yawara Esports | 59c | 105.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Keyd | 55c | 93.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Keyd | 42c | 93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Yawara Esports | 54c | 92.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Yawara Esports | 49c | 90.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yawara Esports | 46c | 81.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yawara Esports | 45c | 77.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yawara Esports | 51c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Keyd | 34c | 72.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 616 | 38.1%235 W · 381 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…3378backed Keyd | 57c | 70.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Keyd | 40c | 61.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Yawara Esports | 44c | 55.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Keyd | 54c | 55.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Yawara Esports | 65c | 52.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 170 | 68.2%116 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Keyd | 55c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Keyd | 50c | 46.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 321 | 38.6%124 W · 197 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Yawara Esports | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Yawara Esports | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Keyd | 50c | 39.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Yawara Esports | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Yawara Esports | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yawara Esports | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Keyd | 52c | 28.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 434 | 57.1%248 W · 186 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yawara Esports | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Keyd | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Yawara Esports | 65c | 23.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 224 | 50.9%114 W · 110 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Yawara Esports | 60c | 23.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.