Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Colton Smith vs Alvaro Guillen Meza
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x286bfb2ccefe63863d2dcaac7decb5c41d8f48cf17db4c4f702279491ab17721
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colton Smithof Colton Smith, Alvaro Guillen Meza
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ef5…dc05backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 49c | 9,994$4,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,909.65 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -8.9wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…be3dbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 46c | 6,196$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.75 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Colton Smith | 60c | 4,894$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.64 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Colton Smith | 31c | 2,384$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.84 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +24.4wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colton Smith | 57c | 1,997$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.47 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Colton Smith | 53c | 1,870$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.48 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Colton Smith | 52c | 1,539$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.22 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Colton Smith | 66c | 1,486$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.49 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Colton Smith | 62c | 1,352$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.79 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 22c | 1,295$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.79 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Colton Smith | 58c | 689.65$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.65 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Colton Smith | 58c | 689.65$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.65 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 47c | 665.1$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.81 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Colton Smith | 53c | 615$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.05 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Colton Smith | 58c | 502.27$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.07 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Colton Smith | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Colton Smith | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 40c | 477.13$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.85 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Colton Smith | 62c | 412.08$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.59 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Colton Smith | 58c | 404.28$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.76 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Colton Smith | 59c | 378$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.35 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Colton Smith | 57c | 344.2$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.77 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Colton Smith | 53c | 309.27$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.36 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Colton Smith | 62c | 299.96$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 36c | 277.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 31c | 262.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Colton Smith | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 252 | 50%126 W · 126 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 35c | 238$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Colton Smith | 78c | 236$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Colton Smith | 50c | 213.63$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.82 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Colton Smith | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 38c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Colton Smith | 66c | 176.6$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Colton Smith | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 252 | 57.9%146 W · 106 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…18dcbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 41c | 171.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Colton Smith | 59c | 169.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Colton Smith | 60c | 168.06$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 25c | 164.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 41c | 164.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Colton Smith | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…6134backed Colton Smith | 62c | 158.73$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Colton Smith | 58c | 151.17$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 28c | 129.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Colton Smith | 59c | 122$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…7363backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 39c | 119$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 40c | 104.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Colton Smith | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Colton Smith | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 290 | 39.3%114 W · 176 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Colton Smith | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Colton Smith | 31c | 94.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 37c | 86.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…9317backed Colton Smith | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 40c | 85.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Colton Smith | 59c | 84.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…e7a4backed Colton Smith | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…ae58backed Colton Smith | 53c | 76.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Colton Smith | 47c | 69.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Colton Smith | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Colton Smith | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Colton Smith | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Colton Smith | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Colton Smith | 62c | 59.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 40c | 55.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 37c | 54.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 38c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Colton Smith | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…7a99backed Colton Smith | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Colton Smith | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 39c | 49.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Colton Smith | 55c | 49.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 42c | 47.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…ae5bbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…69ddbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 40c | 44.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 329 | 35%115 W · 214 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…8e46backed Colton Smith | 62c | 40.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Colton Smith | 59c | 35.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 43c | 33.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb455…a58abacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Colton Smith | 58c | 30.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Colton Smith | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x210e…3f9dbacked Colton Smith | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 38c | 28.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Colton Smith | 62c | 26.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…e8bbbacked Colton Smith | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 185 | 72.4%134 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Colton Smith | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…9d8fbacked Colton Smith | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Colton Smith | 58c | 23.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Colton Smith | 59c | 22.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Colton Smith | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Colton Smith | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 882 | 73.5%648 W · 234 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Colton Smith vs Alvaro Guillen Mezathis page
- Smith vs. Meza: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.