Tennis · resolved market
Targu Mures: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Cezar Cretu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28bb293a1458e5450496c519d467693c19b4cedf90510ba313fa7eff2ba0ce1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cezar Cretuof Alvaro Guillen Meza, Cezar Cretu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 56c | 5,359$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 13c | 4,029$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.01 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 46c | 1,805$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.34 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cezar Cretu | 54c | 1,487$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.22 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 22c | 1,122$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.37 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 47c | 709.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.46 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Cezar Cretu | 70c | 568.19$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.93 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cezar Cretu | 74c | 499.56$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 7c | 462.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +496.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 13c | 439.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc30…ad13backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 45c | 410.04$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Cezar Cretu | 55c | 409.09$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.09 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 44c | 408.25$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Cezar Cretu | 75c | 350.04$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.97 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Cezar Cretu | 55c | 317.6$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Cezar Cretu | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.52 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 17c | 290.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…0b12backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 46c | 243.87$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 45c | 215.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 47c | 169.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 30c | 162.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 15c | 119$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…b9d3backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 11c | 113.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Cezar Cretu | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 46c | 108.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Cezar Cretu | 62c | 108.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 11c | 108.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 44c | 102.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Cezar Cretu | 74c | 101.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Cezar Cretu | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 32c | 95.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Cezar Cretu | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 47c | 87.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cezar Cretu | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Cezar Cretu | 66c | 83.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Cezar Cretu | 66c | 71.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Cezar Cretu | 66c | 62.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 22c | 57.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Cezar Cretu | 58c | 56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 36c | 54.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Cezar Cretu | 55c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…0a8cbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 34c | 47.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 464 | 40.5%188 W · 276 L | -36.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Alvaro Guillen Meza | 30c | 45.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Cezar Cretu | 57c | 43.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Cezar Cretu | 58c | 43.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Cezar Cretu | 56c | 40.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Cezar Cretu | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cezar Cretu | 54c | 33.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cezar Cretu | 75c | 29.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Cezar Cretu | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Cezar Cretu | 61c | 26.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Cezar Cretu | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Cezar Cretu | 71c | 20.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cezar Cretu | 51c | 19.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450a…b4edbacked Cezar Cretu | 76c | 15.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.